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Brunell

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  1. Ranking based on how they'd be as President. John McCain George W Bush Mitt Romney John Kasich Al Gore Ted Cruz Rick Santorum Howard Dean Joe Biden John Kerry Gary Johnson Worst of the rest (people who either were terrible Presidents, or would be one). Barack Obama Hillary Clinton Donald Trump Bernie Sanders Ralph Nader *At #2 if could get 270 EVs* Jill Stein
  2. Will Joe Biden be the Democratic nominee? If not, who? Yes. Will RFK Jr and Marianne Williamson drop out before the first primary? No, because they've been put up by Republicans (RFK Jr.) to embarrass Biden/make the primary "bloody", even though RFK Jr. is largely failing to do that with his name rec./money because he's an idiot. While RFK Jr is a Democrat who is further left than Biden in most ways, his more controversial positions are aligned with MAGA. Considering the controversial positions gain more attention, RFK Jr's favorability among the GOP is net positive, while his favorability is net negative among Democrats. Considering this, if RFK Jr ran 3rd party, do you think he hurts Democrats or the GOP more? Neither, because people are beginning o realize he's a Quack. If he ran third party I don't think he would break 1% of the vote. Do you expect any other major Democrats or GOP politicians declare a run for president in 2024? For major, include anyone that is an incumbent or former president, VP, Senator, US Rep, Governor, cabinet member, or celebrity. No, but if so, Youngkin. Will Donald Trump be the Republican nominee? If not, who? Most likely (sadly); if convicted, he probably gets replaced with DeSantis, Pence or Haley. Considering the expense of running a campaign, do you expect all of the following GOP "major" candidates to drop out before the first primary?: Doug Burgum, Asa Hutchinson, and Will Hurd. Hutchinson. Who do you expect to benefit the most from the 1st GOP debate? Trump, DeSantis, Scott, Haley, Christie, Ramaswamy, or Pence? Hopefully DeSantis since he's my preferred candidate, but most likely Christie Considering Pence isn't gaining any traction whatsoever and has Trump-level unfavorabilities, do you think he drops out before the 1st primary? No, but he'll be out by Super Tuesday. Considering DeSantis has plateau'd and is dropping in the polls (he's basically at RFK Jr levels vs Trump now), do you think he drops out before the 1st primary? No; he will stay in precisely because I think he knows Trump will be convicted, and I don't think the RNC rants to run a convict for President; my theory is after Trump's conviction, the RNC will free up Trump delegates, allowing DeSantis or someone else to be named nominee at the convention. Who do you think Ramaswamy is more of a threat to? anti-Trump GOP candidates or fellow anti-establishment candidate Donald Trump? Ramaswamy is a threat to DeSantis, sadly. But then again, Ramaswamy is a not serious person who has zero redeemable qualities as a candidate or person and has never said anything of substance anytime he's opened his mouth, so he only really has a high floor, no ceiling whatsoever. Currently, Scott and Ramaswamy are trending upwards as DeSantis dips, do you expect either Scott or Ramaswamy to supplant DeSantis at #2? Scott. Mitt Romney has called on Republicans to unite behind a single non-Trump GOP candidate to defeat Trump. Will such a strategy defeat Trump? If so, who is this candidate that will both excite the base of the GOP and pose a thread to Biden? Yes. Polling has shown it would. If this happened behind Haley, Scott or DeSantis, with them being the sole anti-trump candidate, trump would lose. Will DeSantis ever pose a threat to Trump? Hopefully, but looking unlikely as we stand. Chris Christie is arguably the most brutal and effective debator. He appears to have knocked Rubio out of the race for Trump in 2016. He's now turned his guns on Trump, coming up with such colorful comments as calling Trump and "one-man crime wave." However, Christie is much more moderate than the base of his party, and he has his own ethical issues. Does he have any shot at the nomination? No, but he's not running to be nominee. He's running to rid a once great party of a traitorous, pyschotic criminal who has put himself over the Republic dozens of times. If Trump is compelled to drop out because of a mountain of court cases and investigations, which of the following candidates benefits most? The only other anti-establishment businessman Ramaswamy or Ron DeSantis? DeSantis. In 2016, 3rd parties combined for almost 6% of the popular vote. In 2020, 3rd parties combined for only 2% of the popular vote, a significant drop. While we are likely to see a rematch of Trump and Biden, there are two major factors that should be considered for 2024 3rd party support: 1) While Biden is not anywhere nearly as divisive as Hillary Clinton or Trump, he's got a 40-41% approval. As such, both major nominees will be unpopular. 2) While the LIbertarian frontrunner at the point is probably the most obscure potential Libertarian nominee of the 21st century, the Green Party frontrunner is Cornell West, a celebrated and colorful political and social philosopher often seen on TV. Green will easily be the most recognizable Green Party nominee since Ralph Nader. With all this in mind, do you expect 3rd parties to play any sort of spoiler in the 2024 election? Possibly West. If Joe Biden is incapacited and forced to drop out before the Convention, but after most of the primaries have occurred, how do you expect the Democrats to select their nominee, and who will likely be that nominee? Kamala. If Biden is compelled to drop out after nomination because of health, and Kamala Harris moves to the top of the ticket, do you expect it will shakeup the result of the election had Biden stayed on the ticket? Probably. Do you think if Biden wins a 2nd term, that Kamal Harris will end up finishing that term? Yes. If Donald Trump is the nominee for the GOP do you think his selection for VP will make or break the election for him? Say, if he selected Kari Lake, MTG, Boebert, or some other MAGA VP as opposed to, say, Tim Scott, Mike Pence, Ted Cruz, etc. Haley, Scott, or maybe Yougnkin (not likely with the very odd, borderline Asian-phobic comment he made about Youngkin).
  3. How I think they would've served as President. Higher the tier, better Presidency I think they would've had. We've had a lot of terrible people run for this nation's highest office who would've screwed things up much worse than they already are.
  4. @vcczarcan I still get in on this?
  5. Oh; then my leaders will run for re-election.
  6. @ebrk85sorry for the hold up! Busy with finals; will have rosters up by tomorrow at worst
  7. Yeah, I'ver submitted mine and I think other GOPers have, just have not hard confirmation/anything back yet.
  8. 2022 will go down as the Wave that wasn't. GOP Candidates who I think would've flipped seats had they won the nomination: PA-GOV: Barletta WI-GOV: Kleefisch/We should've recruited Gallagher MI-GOV: Craig Kansas should've been a win; RGA incompetence fucked over Schmidt. AZ-Gov: Yee (or Brnovich, he would've won in either race) On the Senate, this is where the "Trump Primary" (picking just straight idiots or scaring off A tier candidates lost us seats) fucked everthing up PA-Sen: Braithwaite, Toomey, McCormick AZ-Sen: Ducey or Brnovich GA-Sen: Geoff Duncan/Chris Carr NH-Sen: Christopher, and I cannot stress this enough, SUNUNU (!!!). I hope Ronna Romney is happy with herself. She's an incompetent idiot. You had a chance to dump trump when his Trailer Trash, y'all Qaeda supporters tried to overthrow the government and murder a sitting Vice President and House Speaker.
  9. Fire every Republican in Leadership. But honestly, I'm happy my party shat the bed. I'd rather have irritating, incompetent liberals then election denying lite-fascists.
  10. Huh, that's interesting; thanks for the fix @ebrk85. I didn't touch the birth dates at all when I edited in politicians, so I fear a bug or some sort of error in the sheets; stay on the look out for any other weird things if this is the case.
  11. @Rodja 2020 Downballot: Gubernatorial: IN: David M McIntosh UT: Burgess Owens ND: Jack Dalrymple Senate: CO: Cory Gardner MI: Bill Schuette MN: Tim Pawlenty MS: Gregg Harper MT: Steve Daines NC: Thom Tillis OR: Gordon Smith TN: Lamar Alexander VA: Ken Cuccinelli WV: Shelley Moore Capito House: AR-2: Rick Crawford AZ-2: Matt Salmon CA-1: Michelle Steel CA-2: Brian Dahle FL-1: Marco Rubio GA-3: Nathan Deal HI-1: Charles Djou IA-1: Pat Grassley IA-2: Greg Ganske KY-1: Brett Guthrie ME-1: Paul LePage MI-1: Betsy DeVos MN-1: Erik Paulsen MS-1: Trent Kelly MS-2: Philip Gunn NC-1: Chuck Edwards ND-1: Kevin Cramer NJ-1: Thomas Kean Jr. NV-1: John Engler NY-1: Lee Zeldin OH-1: Josh Mandel OH-2: Madison Gesiotto OH-3: Jim Jordan PA-1: Bill Shuster SD-1: Ethan Shields TN-1: Marsha Blackburn TN-2: Mark E Green TX-2: Kevin Brady WA-1: Cathy McMorris Rodgers WI-1: Mark Neumann WI-2: Paul Ryan WV-1: David McKinley
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