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pilight

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Everything posted by pilight

  1. It doesn't set her up at all if he loses, she'd get the bulk of the blame. Sitting VPs rarely get elected. It only sets her up if he wins and then dies in office.
  2. He might want Haley but it's doubtful she would accept
  3. Haley has to win South Carolina to stay viable
  4. The whole primary system is idiotic
  5. The low turnout was mostly weather related
  6. Ryan Binkley spent an awful lot of time and money to get half a percent of the vote
  7. It's very possible for Haley to upset Trump in New Hampshire after a good showing in Iowa. Trump's poll numbers are soft and could drop severely if Haley gets some momentum.
  8. Augusta is in Richmond County Columbus is in Muscogee County Macon is in Bibb County All those counties are more populous than Fayette or Lowndes or Baldwin. Baldwin County is barely in the top 50 most populous in Georgia. https://www.georgia-demographics.com/counties_by_population or https://www.legis.ga.gov/api/document/docs/default-source/reapportionment-document-library/2020-count-by-county-population--with-2010.pdf?sfvrsn=cbc99191_2
  9. Interesting that you left out the 2nd, 3rd, and 4th largest cities in the state
  10. I've explained my solution about the Supreme Court on here before, but let's go once more. The Supreme Court should not be a permanent set of justices but a rotating cast. Each year draw one judge at random from each circuit to be the SC for the year. Once a judge serves he can't be selected again for a number of years. The justices that grant certiorari would do so for the next year's court, without knowing who the next justices will be. This would serve to make the court less partisan, less political, and adhere closer to established precedent.
  11. Your personality profile makes you: 47.5% less electable than Bill Clinton. 32.5% less electable than Donald Trump. 25.1% less electable than Barack Obama. 11.3% less electable than John McCain. 10.8% more electable than Hillary Clinton. 29.6% more electable than Mitt Romney. I think this grossly overstates my chances of being elected
  12. I'm guessing they realized Ron DeSantis would find ways postpone or delay any special election indefinitely to keep the much needed seat empty. Besides, you don't want to put someone valuable at VP. You want them in a job where they can actually do something.
  13. Biden chose Harris because he needed someone pro cop. Harris a badge humper of the highest order.
  14. Biden is war monger enough by himself without putting Susan Rice inside the White House
  15. You left out the most likely option, that RFK's numbers will fade as we get closer to election day and he'll have no real impact on the outcome
  16. We have inflation but the economy isn't bad. Unemployment is non-existent, wages are up, and corporate profits are at record levels. The inflation is mostly because the economy is doing so well. Everybody has money to spend.
  17. So it's not a measurement of actual crime but of the perception of crime. That makes these numbers make a little more sense.
  18. What is this data and where did it come from?
  19. "Best" in that they helped the candidate? See if you can find some of Sam Nunn's first senate campaign ads. I still remember his campaign song 50 years later. "Sam Nunn, Sam Nunn, put Sam Nunn in Washington, Sam Nunn, Sam Nunn".
  20. General election debates shouldn't even consider polls. Any candidate with enough ballot access to win should be invited. Otherwise it's just a self fulfilling prophecy. Primary debates should be at the desire of the party leadership. They shouldn't be televised as "news", the party should have to pay for the airtime.
  21. Depends on when it happens. Suppose he drops dead the day before the Iowa caucus. Will she have time to get organized and get on the late primary ballots before Phillips and Williamson have too big a lead to overcome? Most states have filing deadlines months ahead of the actual voting.
  22. I have a hard time believing black voters overwhelmingly preferred Biden to the actual black candidates in the race
  23. Smaller party candidates often poll well this far out. Four years ago at this time people were talking about what impact Kanye West would have on the race. The answer, of course, was none at all. He got fewer votes than Gloria La Riva, the Socialist Party candidate. RFK will do better than that but he'll never get 4% on election day. He'll probably pull less than 1%.
  24. He shouldn't have run four years ago and the DNC shouldn't have rigged things so that he'd be the candidate
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