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State Bellwethers


Entrecampos
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Im back. I forgot my past account.
Im searching for USA popular vote bellwethers, and found 2 interesting.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Northampton_County,_Pennsylvania

Votes like Michigan since 1948.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/St._Joseph_County,_Indiana?fbclid=IwAR2Nz9xh8p4sl4bosl4Bi38OLocLQcjmSSwFKd5VmLFzjXXVFbFmsCH0o2w

Votes like USA in all elections since 1888 except 1968 and 1976.

Edited by Entrecampos
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1 hour ago, Entrecampos said:

Im back. I forgot my past account.
Im searching for USA popular vote bellwethers, and found 2 interesting.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Northampton_County,_Pennsylvania

Votes like Michigan since 1948.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/St._Joseph_County,_Indiana?fbclid=IwAR2Nz9xh8p4sl4bosl4Bi38OLocLQcjmSSwFKd5VmLFzjXXVFbFmsCH0o2w

Votes like USA in all elections since 1888 except 1968 and 1976.

St Joseph was also wrong about 2000, even if it was only just barely off.

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3 minutes ago, Zenobiyl said:

St Joseph was also wrong about 2000, even if it was only just barely off.

No, it was right, Clinton and Gore had more votes than Trump and Bush. The same for 1888 election, when Cleveland had more votes.

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Lisbon city is probably one of the best world bellwethers. 45 of 46 Elections were won by who won Lisbon. All of General, Presidential, Euro elections, and almost all of mayoral elections (except 2009 mayorals). We have elections this year and PS is predicted to win Lisbon and mayorals.

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