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Nebraska in 2022


vcczar
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15 minutes ago, jvikings1 said:

Status quo

I think so too, but I find it interesting that 2020 showed some promise that something could be flippable at some point. Trump and Fortenberry getting under 60% in 2020 is noticeable. 

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12 minutes ago, vcczar said:

I think so too, but I find it interesting that 2020 showed some promise that something could be flippable at some point. Trump and Fortenberry getting under 60% in 2020 is noticeable. 

In the special election, the new candidate for Fortenberrys district got under 55. It was a 7 point margin. If I were the GOP, I would be scared about both districts 1 and 2 by the end of the decade.

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8 minutes ago, vcczar said:

I think so too, but I find it interesting that 2020 showed some promise that something could be flippable at some point. Trump and Fortenberry getting under 60% in 2020 is noticeable. 

The 2nd has been a swing district but tilt R for a little while. Though it may be a complete swing district now.

Trump’s performance in the 1st (R 56) was actually on par with recent Republican performances (2016 R 58; 2012 R 57; 2008 R 54). However redistricting did weaken the district a bit to help out the 2nd (which moved slightly more red).

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35 minutes ago, Hestia said:

In the special election, the new candidate for Fortenberrys district got under 55. It was a 7 point margin. If I were the GOP, I would be scared about both districts 1 and 2 by the end of the decade.

Yeah, if I were the GOP, I would be worried that this becomes a dummymander by the end of the decade, depending on how population growth in Nebraska goes.

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