vcczar Posted August 2, 2022 Share Posted August 2, 2022 Any predictions here? 2018 2020 2022 Trump Trump Trump Ricketts Ricketts Fischer Fischer Fischer Sasse Sasse Sasse Fortenberry Fortenberry Bacon Bacon Smith Smith Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jvikings1 Posted August 2, 2022 Share Posted August 2, 2022 Status quo Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShortKing Posted August 2, 2022 Share Posted August 2, 2022 Vargas is a good candidate against Bacon, it's just not a good year for him and Bacon likely wins another term. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vcczar Posted August 2, 2022 Author Share Posted August 2, 2022 15 minutes ago, jvikings1 said: Status quo I think so too, but I find it interesting that 2020 showed some promise that something could be flippable at some point. Trump and Fortenberry getting under 60% in 2020 is noticeable. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hestia Posted August 2, 2022 Share Posted August 2, 2022 12 minutes ago, vcczar said: I think so too, but I find it interesting that 2020 showed some promise that something could be flippable at some point. Trump and Fortenberry getting under 60% in 2020 is noticeable. In the special election, the new candidate for Fortenberrys district got under 55. It was a 7 point margin. If I were the GOP, I would be scared about both districts 1 and 2 by the end of the decade. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jvikings1 Posted August 2, 2022 Share Posted August 2, 2022 8 minutes ago, vcczar said: I think so too, but I find it interesting that 2020 showed some promise that something could be flippable at some point. Trump and Fortenberry getting under 60% in 2020 is noticeable. The 2nd has been a swing district but tilt R for a little while. Though it may be a complete swing district now. Trump’s performance in the 1st (R 56) was actually on par with recent Republican performances (2016 R 58; 2012 R 57; 2008 R 54). However redistricting did weaken the district a bit to help out the 2nd (which moved slightly more red). Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rezi Posted August 2, 2022 Share Posted August 2, 2022 35 minutes ago, Hestia said: In the special election, the new candidate for Fortenberrys district got under 55. It was a 7 point margin. If I were the GOP, I would be scared about both districts 1 and 2 by the end of the decade. Yeah, if I were the GOP, I would be worried that this becomes a dummymander by the end of the decade, depending on how population growth in Nebraska goes. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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