vcczar Posted August 7, 2022 Share Posted August 7, 2022 Predictions? 2018 2020 2022 Trump Trump Trump DeWine DeWine Brown Brown Brown Portman Portman Chabot Chabot Wenstrup Wenstrup Beatty Beatty Jordan Jordan Latta Latta Johnson Johnson Gibbs Gibbs Davidson Davidson Kaptur Kaptur Turner Turner Fudge Fudge Balderson Balderson Ryan Ryan Joyce Joyce Stivers Stivers Gonzalez Gonzalez Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShortKing Posted August 7, 2022 Share Posted August 7, 2022 Polling suggests Tim Ryan's taken the upper hand in the Senate race against Vance, but it's possible that voters who may not be enamored with Vance's candidacy now come home to their partisan corners by election day. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rezi Posted August 7, 2022 Share Posted August 7, 2022 DeWine+12, Vance+4. Tim Ryan is running a great campaign and will certainly bring Ohio closer than it should be in this environment, but he won't be able to overcome partisanship. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vcczar Posted August 7, 2022 Author Share Posted August 7, 2022 27 minutes ago, Rezi said: DeWine+12, Vance+4. Tim Ryan is running a great campaign and will certainly bring Ohio closer than it should be in this environment, but he won't be able to overcome partisanship. Yeah, I think Ryan is winning now, but I think both parties tend to rally behind their candidate or preferred ideology by election day. As such, I expect Ryan to possibly be +1 in polls and still lose like -4. I think Ryan needs to be +5 in the polls to win. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Murrman104 Posted August 7, 2022 Share Posted August 7, 2022 (edited) I said it before but if Vance loses this election the GOP should legally be allowed to execute him because the loss would be down to his own failures as a candidate Edited August 7, 2022 by Murrman104 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jvikings1 Posted August 7, 2022 Share Posted August 7, 2022 GOP holds Senate and Governor (unfortunately for the latter) and gains 1 House seat. Dems lose 2 House seats (1 to GOP, 1 to redistricting). Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jvikings1 Posted August 7, 2022 Share Posted August 7, 2022 1 hour ago, ShortKing said: Polling suggests Tim Ryan's taken the upper hand in the Senate race against Vance, but it's possible that voters who may not be enamored with Vance's candidacy now come home to their partisan corners by election day. The last neutral poll for this race is from the end of May (which had Vance ahead). Every poll since has been anti-Vance. Also, DeWine was down by around 5 points in the lead up to 2018, which he won by 4 points. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pringles Posted August 8, 2022 Share Posted August 8, 2022 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pringles Posted August 8, 2022 Share Posted August 8, 2022 No matter what happens this senate race will be one of the most interesting races of the cycle. Vance is one of the worst senate candidates I have ever seen. So many local Republicans have endorsed Ryan. Ryan has recently gained the endorsement of Senator Portmans Former Chief of Staff and some former Bush aides. Not like it’s going to convince the MAGA base, but there’s definitely a large anti Vance movement from his own side. Ryan has also ran one of the best senate campaigns of the cycle. Framing himself as a Center/Pro Union Ohio Democrat. He told AOC to shove it. It’s all a matter of how much can he do to overcome the national environment. This is definitely going to be a close one. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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