Definition of a Wave election

[vcczar]

What is your dividing line that denotes a wave election? What does the GOP need to get to get a wave, rather than something else. 

[vcczar]

Here's a summary of the 21st century for midterms. The number are seats gained. 

2002:

• Sen: +2 R
• House: +8 R
• Gov: +1 D
• Definitely not a wave. 

2006:

• Sen: +5 D
• House: +31 D
• Gov: +6 D
• Possibly a Blue Wave

2010:

• Sen: +6 R
• House: +63 R
• Gov: +6 R
• Red Wave

2014:

• Sen: +9 R
• House: +13 R
• Gov: +2 R
• Despite Senate change, the house changes might prevent this from being a Red Wave

2018:

• Sen: +2 R
• House: +41 D
• Gov: +7 D
• This election was typically called a Blue Wave. The Senate part makes it arguably not one. 

 

[themiddlepolitical]

1 hour ago, vcczar said:

Here's a summary of the 21st century for midterms. The number are seats gained. 

2002:

• Sen: +2 R
• House: +8 R
• Gov: +1 D
• Definitely not a wave. 

2006:

• Sen: +5 D
• House: +31 D
• Gov: +6 D
• Possibly a Blue Wave

2010:

• Sen: +6 R
• House: +63 R
• Gov: +6 R
• Red Wave

2014:

• Sen: +9 R
• House: +13 R
• Gov: +2 R
• Despite Senate change, the house changes might prevent this from being a Red Wave

2018:

• Sen: +2 R
• House: +41 D
• Gov: +7 D
• This election was typically called a Blue Wave. The Senate part makes it arguably not one. 

 

With the Partisanship of today, I honestly think 4 senate wins and about 25/30 house seats to be a wave. If we are talking 2022 in particular.  

[themiddlepolitical]

Republicans have a complete chance to flip

Nevada, Arizona,  Georgia, and New Hampshire (the least of the 4)

If it's 9:00, and Republicans are leading in NH, It's going to be a very, very bad night for Dems.