Cal Posted February 6, 2023 Author Share Posted February 6, 2023 On 2/2/2023 at 2:38 PM, Murrman104 said: Rep Omar began meeting with Gov Inslee in Seatle over who would be best to hold the seat recently vacated by the venerable Sen Murray. There would be a proper special election later which made the question difficult over how they wanted to approach the appointment. A seatwarmer or a potential permanent replacement. Eventually, it was decided that the new Senator would be current Washington state Attorney General Bob Ferguson. The Att General had previously been a legislator and had been notable for his cases against Trump's travel ban and against business owners who refused to serve gay couples. If nothing else this skilled, progressive attorney will be of use to the senate no matter how long his term is. The harder part was to come which was how to respond to Gov Newsom's crackdown on MAGA protesters in California. Eventually, she made a call to Gov Newsom and after a long conversation, she agreed she would not make any public statements either way and let the Governor handle things in his home state. Option 2: Take no action. , At age 40 you're already growing into the elder statesman role that the progressives across the country need right now. While your phone has been buzzing nonstop with concerned legislators wanting you to take some stance one way or another, you had the wisdom to stay out of this situation and size it up before needlessly inserting yourself in it. Credible reports have come out in the past week that have conclusively shown that it was indeed an alt-right plot to stir up controversy in California and that had Newsom not responded with the heavy hand that he did, it could well have grown into a much larger controversy. On a private line with the governor he thanks you for not jumping to conclusions about his intentions and promises to support you as the figurehead for progressive advocacy in the country for the time being. During a period when leaders rushing to action without adequate information to judge the consequences of such, your inaction strikes a chord with those who want to see the country think things through and act rationally. You've grown more popular with the American people and influential with your party as a result. Premodifier roll: 7. Postmodifer roll: 7. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cal Posted February 6, 2023 Author Share Posted February 6, 2023 On 2/2/2023 at 9:24 PM, Hestia said: After meeting with Gov. Healey face to face, an agreement was met. As soon as she returned to Washington, she was faced with another - if not more important decision. With her Democratic allies busy, the party needed to put up a front to the news and decide which way they would respond to the insurrection - specifically with how social media should handle the response. Klobuchar knew that going too hard one way or too hard the other would risk damaging the party in the eyes of the public. But they could not allow everything to go through - that was how January 6th, 2021 was corrupted. She would not let January 6th, 2023 go the same way. Klobuchar would choose: Option 2: Loose Restrictions. It’s important that the American people feel like we are not oppressing them, lest we feed the rumors that we’ve fallen into tyranny. We should crack down on news sources that claim that Biden ordered Trump’s assassination or offer fake proof of those claims, but other than that we should let the media continue unfettered. We’ll use soft influence and our media expertise to keep certain web personalities from causing too much tension, or at least limiting it. Difficulty: Moderate. Media Requirement: 6 (-2) May increase Media. Klobuchar herself would offer up news interviews for whoever wanted one, blasting MAGA-ites in the Republican party for causing the insurrection on 06-23. She hoped that her voice, and those of her allies, could drown out the muck that would be thrown by the other side. "President Trum.... insurrection... stormed the..." "Biden may... assassination... 30,000..." "Russian plot... questionable..." Senator Klobuchar, something has went horribly wrong. Your policy of instituting only loose media restrictions should have been a success. Hell, if anything, it should have been seen as TOO lenient in response to a movement that murdered a sitting president and half of his damn cabinet. However, the implementation of such has been... controversial to say the least. You ordered that news broadcasts directly claiming that Biden ordered Trump's assassination would be shut down and those only. However, it seems that the ones responsible for executing this policy didn't quite get the memo. Rather that blatantly shutting these news programs down, it seems like these treasonous programs have had a number of forced technical issues. Mics have went in and out, speech has lagged, and in general the quality of these interviews and news reels has been artificially lowered. This was meant to be a very lenient measure to prevent another rebellion at the capitol, hell, your advisors recommending a much stricter policy. After a broadcast was interfered with the perpetrator would be warned that they would be subject to fines, a loss of certain governmental media privileges, and even a court-ordered gag order if they were to continue with their rabblerousing. Most stations complied with this after being warned, but not all. Tucker Carlson took to social media earlier this week to blast the Austin administration and Democratic government for infringing on the 1st Amendment rights of both him and those appearing on his show in an "unjustified and unprecedented act of censorship" which has stirred up all feelings on the American right. If people were angry about President Austin purportedly clinging to power, they're pissed at the censoring of their favorite shows even if they don't understand just WHY it was necessary and how easy you let Carlson and many others off. Republicans are blasting the Austin administration and calling for an immediate end to any kind of censorship, with characters such as Alex Jones claiming that this is evidence that what the government is telling its people about January 6th simply isn't true. We need to do something to restore legitimacy, and we need to do it quickly. Premodifier roll: Nat 1. Nat 1's and Nat 10's don't get affected by modifiers. POTENTIAL RESPONSE OPPORTUNITY @Pringles and @Hestia are welcome to come up with some kind of official government response to this. Depending on what you come up with, I'll just wing the application and choose whoever's traits, stats, or a combination of are appropriate.@The Blood is also free to respond however she would like, given that railing against the government is kinda Gaetz whole thing right now. In general, anyone is welcome to respond to anything that occurs as long as it makes sense to insert themselves somehow. I'll just ask that before y'all respond let me get out the rest of the event rolls today haha. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cal Posted February 6, 2023 Author Share Posted February 6, 2023 On 2/2/2023 at 2:14 PM, Rezi said: Senator Schumer gives nothing but respect to Pelosi, the two had worked admirably together in the last 4 years of leadership. But Nancy stepped down, her time is done. She lead the party for nearly two decades, but that's done. It's time for Chuck to take the lead now, especially with no Biden or Harris in the way. Schumer would make his presence very known in the choosing of House leadership. With Jeffries dead, Clark and Aguilar are out of the picture. They were stooges anyways. A new era of House Dem leadership is going to pop out of the woodworks, Pelosi's plan be damned. Debbie Dingell of Michigan will be the new House Minority leader, with the top 3 ranking House Democrats rounded out by Brendan Boyle of Pennsylvania and Chellie Pingree of Maine. Today is a new day for the DNC. You were always expected to pick an establishment favorite and Dingell's name was not one that was flouted by many. However, the pick is very well received. Representative Debbie Dingell was a strong critic of Trump throughout his presidency and a once-favorite to run for Senate in 2015. As a whole, the new lineup of Democratic leadership in the House represents a significant shakeup from the years prior: powerful positions are going to those elected from Michigan, from Pennsylvania, from Maine and not from California and New York. Truly, today is a new day for the DNC, and this marks a new day for your faction. Out with the old and in with the new. Premodifier roll: 6. Postmodifier roll: 7 (added 1 for Establishment). Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cal Posted February 6, 2023 Author Share Posted February 6, 2023 On 2/3/2023 at 3:37 PM, Fbarbarossa said: Phil Scott ran a hand over his face as he sat at his desk. He took a deep breath followed by another. He was shaken by recent events, shaken to the core. Politics aside he had lost people that he had met and had called friends, that was what sat in his mind primarily. He tapped his fingers against his desk before picking up the phone that sat next to him. The Governor had already decided upon a replacement for Senator Sanders, now all he had to do was make a call so that an Aide could begin the proper proceedings. At the end of the day, Phil Scott is a servant of the people of Vermont. The Republican Party leadership may be urging him to appoint a Conservative but that's not what Vermonters voted for in 2018. Though he is no progressive, a progressive politician is what the people of the state voted for. And so that is who Phil Scott will appoint to the Senate seat. If the Vermont people want a Conservative then they can vote for one in the upcoming special election. With that, the Governor called an Aide and had them contact the press so that he could announce that the next Senator from Vermont will be the former President Pro Tempore of the Vermont State Senate, Tim Ashe. Governor Scott, blessed be your name! You're not quite Jesus, but to many moderate Republicans concerned with bipartisan unity in this time of crisis, you sure are close. Party leadership wanted you to choose a Republican to keep control of the Senate and keep Schumer out of power and were completely unconcerned with the optics of that decision. You, however, must be a seasoned political operative who knew just how good of an idea it would be to appoint Tim Ashe instead. Your constituents are beyond pleased with you, although they never had a doubt that you would make the right decision. They've been consistently happy with your moderate conservatism and respect your commitment to governing as a uniter and not a divider even when it becomes very advantageous to do so. Further, across the country you've got the likes of former Governor Kasich and Governor Crist praising you as an example of strong leadership that refuses to bow to political pressure. Even the Republicans are pretty happy with your pick. Now-Senator Ashe is a perpetual loser. He checks all the right boxes with Sanders-supporters, but he also has proven he can't build a coalition nearly as fierce as the man he's set to replace. They're impressed with your foresight and hopeful that a stellar moderate Republican or right-leaning independent could ride the coattails of your popularity and defeat Ashe in just a few months. Congratulations, sir. Job well done. Nat 10. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cal Posted February 6, 2023 Author Share Posted February 6, 2023 On 2/3/2023 at 3:25 PM, Cenzonico said: Greg Gianforte announces he will appoint Albert Olszewski to serve the remainder of the late Senator Daines’ term. Former member of both houses of state congress, three time candidate for Senate, Governor, and House respectively, and former Surgeon in the Air Force. He will serve his new role valiantly. Kemp sat in the governor’s mansion. The last few days have been overwhelming, and that's honestly an understatement. But he can’t spare the time to take everything in. All of a sudden America’s eyes are on him. The fate of the Senate befalls upon him, in some ironic twist of sorts. The Loeffler appointment at the moment seemed like a slam dunk. Sure Georgia was changing but it wasn’t changing that fast right? He’s been proven wrong, thrice. So he really needs to tread carefully here, especially when the country is in a state of chaos and panic. After spending some time vetting and looking at potential appointees, he has come down to two people. One would be a safe option, though it would meet the ire of a certain wing of the Republican party. The other would be a massive gamble on his part, and would probably cause the party apparatus to throw him overboard. But let’s not pretend these are normal times, and it’s bizarre times like these that call for bizarre measures. Option 1: Brad Raffensperger Kemp won’t mince words, this is mostly motivated as a “fuck you” to the MAGA wing. Everyone associated with them is dead to Kemp now anyway, he couldn’t care what they say. He upheld the democratic principles we hold dear and refused to back down in the face of pressure. Kemp has a lot of respect for the guy, and has a good working relationship with him. Granted he probably wouldn’t be so keen on it at first, but Kemp is certain he could convince him. At least serve the term and get out of there after. The senate could use someone like him, and it would make the party happy. He’s also more palatable to moderates, not like those liberals are gonna like what Kemp does anyway. Option 2: Stacey Abrams When the idea of appointing Stacey Abrams was first floated, he thought it was crazy talk. But after taking some time to think about it, it actually doesn’t seem like that bad of an idea. He already knows the party would rain hellfire on him for appointing someone like her, especially when the balance of power is on the line here. But the rationale here is simple. For one he scores points for bipartisanship and for serving the “will of the people”. Moderate democrats would welcome it and progressives would have to go with it, even if begrudgingly so. And well, Kemp has already faced her twice. He knows how to beat her, and could easily mobilize the GOP to do so. And by god would that be satisfying to see. Abrams would easily accept the offer… at least he assumes so. After some more thinking, Kemp makes his final decision. “Hello?” “Hey it’s Kemp.” “Oh, what do you need, governor?” “Do you think you could put me in contact with Stacey Abrams?” “I mean I could arrange that for you. May I ask why?” “I have an offer for her…” I'm sorry, Stacey Abrams? Shadow Governor Stacey Abrams, who accused you of rigging the election against you in 2018 and refused to concede? The same Stacey Abrams that ran against you a second time in 2022 and lost just a few months ago? That one? Perhaps during any other week the reception to this pick could have been superb and you could have been viewed as a rare unifying figure in American politics by putting aside your differences and appointing someone more in line with the views of the senator that you must replace. However, this is not any other week. MAGA Republicans are pissed off across the country. They're pissed off about President Austin not appointing a full cabinet. They're pissed off about government censorship. They're still reeling from the loss of President Trump. Some are even pissed off about Gaetz' nonsense interview with Tucker Carlson. And after Scott chose to appoint a senator bound to caucus with the Democrats all of MAGA country was looking at you to right that wrong and appoint a true "patriot" to the seat to ensure a fair investigation into what happened to Trump and what role Biden played, if any. And you appointed... Stacey Fucking Abrams?! To say that the far-right wing of the party is pissed would be the understatement of the century. More accurately, pitchfork salesmen are growing into billionaires in the state of Georgia as the sale of dual-purpose items capable of both simple farm work and expressing political discontent overtakes Big Peach and film production as the largest industry in the state. The only upside to this is that no one has called for Atlanta to be stormed. Yet. But hey... at least you did the right thing? Premodifier roll: 5 Postmodifier roll: 2. 1 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Blood Posted February 6, 2023 Share Posted February 6, 2023 1 hour ago, Cal said: "President Trum.... insurrection... stormed the..." "Biden may... assassination... 30,000..." "Russian plot... questionable..." Senator Klobuchar, something has went horribly wrong. Your policy of instituting only loose media restrictions should have been a success. Hell, if anything, it should have been seen as TOO lenient in response to a movement that murdered a sitting president and half of his damn cabinet. However, the implementation of such has been... controversial to say the least. You ordered that news broadcasts directly claiming that Biden ordered Trump's assassination would be shut down and those only. However, it seems that the ones responsible for executing this policy didn't quite get the memo. Rather that blatantly shutting these news programs down, it seems like these treasonous programs have had a number of forced technical issues. Mics have went in and out, speech has lagged, and in general the quality of these interviews and news reels has been artificially lowered. This was meant to be a very lenient measure to prevent another rebellion at the capitol, hell, your advisors recommending a much stricter policy. After a broadcast was interfered with the perpetrator would be warned that they would be subject to fines, a loss of certain governmental media privileges, and even a court-ordered gag order if they were to continue with their rabblerousing. Most stations complied with this after being warned, but not all. Tucker Carlson took to social media earlier this week to blast the Austin administration and Democratic government for infringing on the 1st Amendment rights of both him and those appearing on his show in an "unjustified and unprecedented act of censorship" which has stirred up all feelings on the American right. If people were angry about President Austin purportedly clinging to power, they're pissed at the censoring of their favorite shows even if they don't understand just WHY it was necessary and how easy you let Carlson and many others off. Republicans are blasting the Austin administration and calling for an immediate end to any kind of censorship, with characters such as Alex Jones claiming that this is evidence that what the government is telling its people about January 6th simply isn't true. We need to do something to restore legitimacy, and we need to do it quickly. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cal Posted February 6, 2023 Author Share Posted February 6, 2023 23 minutes ago, The Blood said: Roll for it Elon takes it down or not. Jk. But not because he’s a free speech absolutist, instead because he’s a member of your faction. Jk. Unless… 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cal Posted February 6, 2023 Author Share Posted February 6, 2023 https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1EJx7NwAcKExQ7OqL-vocwRwX0dkuK5AieedY6P0-4bI/edit?usp=sharing @Rezi @The Blood @WVProgressive @Hestia @Fbarbarossa @Cenzonico @Murrman104 @Pringles I've been trying to get everything set up on a sheet for easy access and whatnot, but it's still a work in progress. This link works for all of you and anyone viewing to view and edit so please feel free to browse or contribute if you want, but its not at all necessary. I intend to put down what all current reps/sens belong to faction wise soon. 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rezi Posted February 6, 2023 Share Posted February 6, 2023 2 minutes ago, Cal said: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1EJx7NwAcKExQ7OqL-vocwRwX0dkuK5AieedY6P0-4bI/edit?usp=sharing @Rezi @The Blood @WVProgressive @Hestia @Fbarbarossa @Cenzonico @Murrman104 @Pringles I've been trying to get everything set up on a sheet for easy access and whatnot, but it's still a work in progress. This link works for all of you and anyone viewing to view and edit so please feel free to browse or contribute if you want, but its not at all necessary. I intend to put down what all current reps/sens belong to faction wise soon. Rolled a 7 but no popularity increase. Sad! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cal Posted February 6, 2023 Author Share Posted February 6, 2023 16 minutes ago, Rezi said: Rolled a 7 but no popularity increase. Sad! Numbers aren’t final right now I should add: I’m in the process of making them “make sense” tonight before finalizing it. suggestions always welcome. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cal Posted February 14, 2023 Author Share Posted February 14, 2023 Chapter 1: The Aftermath, Turn 2 The week of January 18th, 2023. With the first turn having finished up, we have our first official State of the Union. National Stability: 3. Government Legitimacy: 4.5. Economy: 6.House Composition: 212-202, Republican majority. Senate Composition: 51-49, Democratic majority. Democratic Party Popularity: 60/100 (-5)Blue Dog Democrats Popularity: 55/100 (-10)Establishment Democrats Popularity: 50/100 (+5)Truth and Justice Democrats Popularity: 65/100 (-5)Progressive Democrats Popularity: 55/100 (+5) The Democratic party enjoys broad popularity in the weeks after the White House Massacre. While there is some who question the government's involvement in Trump's assassination, most of the country staunchly condemns the actions taken by the rebels on January 6th to murder President Biden. The country has come together around the Democrats, for now. More specifically, the people crave justice. They want to know more. Accordingly, the Truth and Justice Democrats enjoy the highest level of popularity of any faction currently despite the 1 they rolled. Ultimately that 1 was a chink in the T&J Democrats armor but a significant blow to the Blue Dog Democrats lead by President Austin in conjunction with the questions of his legitimacy. The establishment Democrats are more popular now than at any point in recent history, though likely have a lower ceiling than some of the other factions in terms of overall support. I could be proven wrong by the dice however 😉 The Progressives are chugging along and could quietly become the most popular branch of the party and subsequently challenge many incumbents successfully. We'll have to see where it goes from here. Republican Party Popularity: 30/100 (no change)Centrist Republicans Popularity: 55/100 (+5)Establishment Republicans Popularity: 30/100 (-5)Law and Order Republicans Popularity: 55/100 (+5)MAGA Republicans Popularity: 30/100. (no change) The Republican Party on the other hand is very unpopular. Many registered Republicans are still proudly card-carrying members, but independents and those not closely following politics were appalled at the actions of Trump supporters on January 6th. Luckily, this is about the floor for the Republicans. Those who are still in support of party leadership or the MAGA wing are unlikely to be persuaded to vote for the Democrats bar another national emergency. The Republicans have the job of salvaging their credibility and sufficiently casting enough doubt on the government to become the lesser of two evils come the 2024 election. The Centrist Republicans lead the way in terms of popularity alongside the Law and Order Republicans. This makes sense given that many moderates still support conservative policies buy are wary of the MAGA wing and the establishment that let him take over the party. Governor Scott's appointment won him pretty wide support from those both in and out of the party, especially after Governor Kemp appointed Stacey Abrams to the Senate. The MAGA Republicans have had no change in their popularity as of right now. They're not at the very bottom of their floor, but the supporters they have now are unlikely to be dissuaded away from Gaetz and the populist conservatism espoused by the faction. It will be exciting to see if they continue to stir up trouble or instead find a way into the party establishment, however unlikely. UP NEXT: Overview of 2023 special senate elections and 2024 non-presidential elections. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cal Posted February 14, 2023 Author Share Posted February 14, 2023 2023 Special Senate Elections With the death of several prominent Congresspeople it has come time for the people of the United States to elect their replacements, as state law permits. The first matter of business is of course the special Senate elections coming up over the next few months. The appointed now-incumbents are expected to run for reelection, but any of them can be, are likely are expected to be, challenged. Special elections have more opportunity to stray from the lines of typical statewide elections so with a great campaign its possible any of these races could be competitive. The Washington Special Senate Election (Likely D) is dated for March 6th, 2023. @Murrman104 Former state Attorney General Bob Ferguson is a former state legislator and now is defending the former President Pro Tempore of the Senate's seat as an unlikely incumbent. He is a notable candidate for his staunch opposition to Trump. The Republican field is wide open but there are murmurs for many candidates such as Representative Cathy McMorris Rodgers, former chair of the Washington state Republican Party Susan Hutchison, and even some expecting another longshot bid from businessman and perennial presidential candidate Rocky De La Fuente. The Massachusetts Special Senate Election (Likely D) is dated for May 2nd, 2023. @Hestia Senator Joe Kennedy III has been appointed to Warren's seat and now sits in the same delegation as the senator he primaried just a few years ago. The Republican field is wide open, though notable names being flouted include former governor Charlie Baker and Assistant Minority Leader Patrick O'Connor, and former Lt. Governor Karyn Polito who had already declared for the 2024 election. The Vermont Special Senate Election (Likely D) is dated for May 2nd, 2023. @Murrman104 Former state president pro tempore of the senate Tim Ashe now defends the seat held by long-time and beloved progressive activist Bernie Sanders, who caucuses as a left-wing independent in the same vein. The Republican field is wide open, though there is a lot of talk about Governor Scott perhaps jumping from the governor's mansion to Capitol Hill. If you would like to declare any candidates for these special senate elections, please do so now or next turn. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cal Posted February 14, 2023 Author Share Posted February 14, 2023 2024 Senate Elections Arizona (Tossup)@Pringles Senator Kyrsten Sinema has left the Democratic Party to become a moderate independent caucusing with the Democratic Party. She is facing a primary challenge from the left side of the party in the form of @Murrman104 Representative Ruben Gallego. The vote splitting in a potential general election could well hand a Democratic vote over to the Republicans. California (Likely D)@Rezi Senator Dianne Feinstein is currently 89-years old and has been undecided in terms of a reelection bid. However, the rest of the party has made it clear that they have no intention of waiting for Feinstein to retire and instead will be arguing to the people of California that they need a new generation of younger leaders. (I don't think IRL candidates had declared with this RP began so feel free to make Schiff, Khanna, whoever declare if you'd like) Connecticut (Solid D)@Rezi Senator Chris Murphy is expected to cruise to reelection, should he seek it. Delaware (Solid D)@Pringles Senator Tom Carper is expected to cruise to reelection, should he seek it. Florida (Lean R)@The Blood Senator Rick Scott is a master in the art of winning elections with a razor thin margin. However, Florida has grown increasingly more polarized over the years and this might be his first time winning comfortably with a state leading the opposition to President Austin and the Democrats. However, some are calling for Scott to retire and let a new MAGA figure take control. Hawaii (Solid D)@Murrman104 Senator Mazie Hirono is expected to cruise to reelection, should she seek it. Indiana (Lean R) Incumbent Mike Braun has announced he is running for Governor and the seat is wide open. So far, the only declared Republican candidate is @The Blood Representative Tim Banks. Maine (Lean D)@Pringles independent Angus King is the incumbent. One of the two independents caucusing with the Democratic Party, King may face a significant challenge from the left of his party or from a unified Republican opposition. Maryland (Solid D)@Rezi Ben Cardin is expected to cruise to reelection, should he seek it. Massachusetts (Likely D) The winner of the special election will be up for reelection. Michigan (Tossup, Lean D)@Rezi appointed Senator Slotkin will be defending her seat. Having not won election to the position in the first place, her incumbency advantage is weaker than otherwise expected. Minnesota (Likely D)@Hestia Senator Amy Klobuchar is expected to cruise to reelection, should she seek it. However, Minnesota's recent flirting with Trump's brand of conservatism may provide an expensive challenge to her bid. Mississippi (Likely R)@WVProgressive Senator Roger Wicker is expected to cruise to reelection, should he seek it. However, Mississippi has shown some trends in recent polling that indicate this might be a potential flip if the stars align. Missouri (Likely R)@The Blood Senator Josh Hawley is expected to cruise to reelection, should he seek it. However, as a staunch supporter of President Trump he might be vulnerable to a primary challenge even if he eventually shrugs it off. Montana (Tossup)@Pringles Senator Jon Tester is expected to face a fierce general election campaign if he chooses to seek reelection. Nebraska Regular (Likely R)@Cenzonico Deb Fischer is expected to cruise to reelection, should she seek it. Nebraska Special (Likely R) With the retirement of Senator Ben Sasse, @Cenzonico former Governor and failed senate nominee Pete Ricketts was appointed to the seat. Now he'll have to defend it if he chooses to stand for reelection. It's likely he'd win the general election, but it might be a slightly closer campaign than the regular election. Nevada (Tossup)@Rezi Senator Jackie Rosen is expected to face a bitter general election campaign. New York (Solid D)@Hestia Senator Kirsten Gillibrand is expected to cruise to reelection, should she seek it. However, the state has recently shown itself capable of supporting particular Republicans for state-wide office in the right circumstances. North Dakota (Likely R)@Cenzonico Kevin Kramer is expected to cruise to reelection, should he seek it. Ohio (Tossup)@Murrman104 Senator Sherrod Brown is expected to face a bitter general election campaign. Ohio has trended redder and redder throughout the years and Brown stands as one of the last bastions of the Democratic Party in a state increasingly left behind by the national party. Pennsylvania (Lean D)@Hestia Senator Bob Casey Jr is a slight favorite should he seek reelection. Rhode Island (Likely D)@Rezi Senator Sheldon Whitehouse is expected to cruise to reelection, should he seek it. Tennessee (Likely R)@The Blood Senator Marsha Blackburn is expected to cruise to reelection, should she seek it. Texas (Lean-Likely R)@The Blood Senator Ted Cruz is the favorite to win in the Lone Star state, though some have become increasingly disillusioned with him in the Senate. He was almost knocked off 6 years prior by Representative Beto O'Rourke in one of the most expensive races of a Democrat-friendly cycle but still held on to his seat. Utah (Solid R)@Fbarbarossa Senator Jon Hunstman Jr was appointed to fill the vacancy left by Romney's untimely demise. Much in the same vein of old-school Republican conservatism, the moderate is expected to cruise to reelection in a state that adores him. Vermont (Solid D?)@Murrman104 appointed Senator Tim Ashe is expected to cruise to reelection and continue caucusing with the Democrats. The reason this has a question mark to it at all is because of Vermont's history of electing the occasional popular moderate Republican or right-wing independent. Many believe that Governor Scott is the party's only chance, even if slim, of flipping the seat once held by Bernie Sanders. (also contingent on special election) Virginia (Lean-Likely D)@Rezi Senator Tim Kaine is expected to cruise to reelection, though may face a significant challenge in a state that has grown to view its longtime Democratic establishment unfavorably. The election of Governor Glenn Youngkin over former Governor Terry McAuliffe may signal that this race is going to be more competitive than it shows on the surface. Hell, with Youngkin term limited in 2025, he himself might choose to jump in and knock off another Democrat perceived as untouchable. Washington (Likely D)@Hestia Maria Cantwell is expected to cruise to reelection, should she seek it. West Virginia (Tossup)@Pringles Senator Joe Machin is one of the most hated Democrats in America, though certainly the most beloved in his home state of West Virginia. He has struggled for reelection recently and is thought of as one of the most likely Republican flips of this cycle. Wisconsin (Lean D)@Rezi Senator Tammy Baldwin is a very popular moderate-to-liberal figure in a state that has just elected a super conservative in Ron Johnson. There is a lot of anxiety in Wisconsin about what the right path forward for both the state and the nation is. A Republican chiming in to that may well be able to knock her off. Wyoming (Solid R)@WVProgressive Senator Liz Cheney is virtually guaranteed to sail to reelection, though she could be primaried before making it there. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cal Posted February 14, 2023 Author Share Posted February 14, 2023 Hi all! I figure that the two posts above this could be intimidating in length and want to stress that you only have to engage with it as much as you'd like to. I'll assume all incumbents are running for reelection unless you specify otherwise. However, there is a lot of opportunity for a few factions to grow by challenging incumbents whether in the primaries or in the general election. If you want to grow your faction more I encourage you to let me know about a particular race you're interested in with a candidate to run. If you are going to be running for an election as a non-incumbent please let me know this turn or next for special elections, and just sometime in the next few turns for the regular old special elections or a particular gubernatorial election. Anywhere there are no candidates announced will just have IRL nominees. I'll potentially do a post for 2024 gubernatorial elections as well if there's interest, but otherwise that will just be an as they come up and seem interesting thing. My next priority to churn out is going to be more details about the House special elections and what turn they are coming in. Thanks! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Murrman104 Posted February 14, 2023 Share Posted February 14, 2023 (edited) Newly appointed Senators Tim Ashe and Bob Ferguson announce their intentions to keep the seats they were recently appointed to in the 2023 special elections. While Massachusets may be fertile ground for a true progressive candidate many of the state's prominent progressives feel that newly appointed Senator Kennedy is good enough for them and decline to run a challenge to his left (and with the death of Rep Pressley they are also missing their best candidate anyways) The 2024 elections present a crossroads for Progressives nationwide, with the death of so many of the nations leading leftists many in the movement feel deflated and defeated, while others will be spurred forward to action to achieve the goals of the martyred.Arizona- Many things may have changed after the 2nd January 6th but if one thing stayed the same is that progressives still hated Kyrsten Sinema. After a meeting with Rep Omar to assure the support of the rest of the progressives, Representative Ruben Gallego announced that if Sinema wanted to be an Independent then he would be the Democratic nominee for the Arizona Senate. In his announcement, there were no bold policy goals but instead various platitudes about "working hard for Arizona". The base didn't need to be fired up in this particular race. California- Rep Omar emerged from another meeting with another fellow representative and from that meeting came another progressive challenger. Barbra Lee announced a few days later that she intended to seek the California senate seat currently occupied by Senator Feinstein. In contrast to Gallego's announcement, Lee opened up with a full-throated endorsement of platform goals from medicare for all to death penalty abolition. Florida- In a much more muted announcement former Rep Alan Grayson announced he would again seek to win the Democratic nomination. While he failed before the former congressman remained unphased and with (some felt) unenthusiastic Representative Omar by his side announced that he would stand for "progressive values" against the "radical maga fascists" in the Senate. Hawaii- Mazie Hirono announced she would seek another term in the senate.Mississippi- Mayor of Jackson Chokwe Antar Lumumba announced his campaign for the Democratic nomination for Senator for Mississippi. The Mayor is expected to be a long shot but with many prominent progressives at his campaign launch many progressives are dreaming.Ohio- It would be a hard fight but Sherrod Brown would fight to keep his senate seat. His announcement was accompanied by no prominent progressives but only other Ohio Democrats. He would run on his record and he would run on protectionism and he hoped that the national environment swinging towards the Democrats would be enough to keep him in the senate in this rapidly reddening state. New York- Understated, nearly alone but determined to win, former Mayor of New York Bill De Blasio hoped to be the exception to the curse that came with the mayorship of the big apple and be the first former mayor in decades to achieve a higher office by challenging incumbent Kirsten Gillibrand for Democratic nomination for the New York Senate seat. It would be a long shot, he would probably lose but with New York having lost its leading progressive lights in the 2nd January 6th, Big Bill De Blasio decided that he would step up and champion their causes. Edited February 14, 2023 by Murrman104 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cal Posted February 14, 2023 Author Share Posted February 14, 2023 2023 Gubernatorial Elections Mississippi (Likely-Lean R) @The Blood incumbent Governor Tate Reeves is the favorite to win reelection after a narrow victory four years prior. However, @Murrman104 cousin of Elvis and current Mississippi Public Service Commissioner Brandon Presley has matched or surpassed Reeves in recent polling. Kentucky (Tossup) @Pringles incumbent Governor Andy Beshear Jr faces a tough road ahead of him for reelection. There are numerous Republican candidates that have expressed interest in challenging him including state Attorney General Daniel Cameron. Louisiana (Tossup, lean R) Governor Edwards is term limited. Under Louisiana's jungle primary system, all candidates will appear on the same ballot, regardless of party, and voters may vote for any candidate, regardless of their party affiliation. This gives a lot of room for a little known candidate to shine and succeed even in a crowded field. 2024 Gubernatorial Elections Delaware (Likely D) Governor John Carney is term-limited leaving the field wide open. Indiana (Likely R) Governor Eric Holcomb is term-limited. Senator Mike Braun has declared for the Republican nomination. Many had speculated that Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg would run against him, however, with his death the field is left wide open. Some even suspect that the now-widowed Chasten Buttigieg may run. Missouri (Likely R) Governor Mike Parson is term-limited. Montana (Likely R)@Cenzonico Governor Greg Gianforte is expected to cruise to reelection. New Hampshire (Lean R)@WVProgressive Governor Chris Sununu is not term-limited and could seek reelection to a historic 5th term. North Carolina (Tossup) Governor Roy Cooper is term limited. North Dakota (Solid R)@Cenzonico Governor Doug Burgum is not term limited and is expected to cruise to reelection. Utah (Solid R)@Fbarbarossa Governor Spencer Cox is expected to cruise to reelection. Vermont (Likely R)@Fbarbarossa Governor Phil Scott is expected to cruise to reelection. Washington (Likely D)@Murrman104 Governor Jay Inslee is expected to cruise to reelection. West Virginia (Solid R) Governor Jim Justice is term-limited. The Republican field is wide open and whoever wins is expected to win the general election easily. Likely the only candidate that could stand a chance would be a longshot campaign from Senator Machin. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rezi Posted February 14, 2023 Share Posted February 14, 2023 Schumer wholeheartedly endorses Senators Ferguson, Kennedy, and Ashe in their special election to the United States Senate. Offering words that, "although they have been elevated in unusual circumstances which no one could have foreseen or wish for, our new Senators have been welcomed into the Senate with open arms by their colleagues on both sides of the aisle. This spring our Caucus will put its full efforts into making sure that the citizens of their states elect them to finish out the terms of their predecessors." 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rezi Posted February 14, 2023 Share Posted February 14, 2023 State of the Senate Elections, January 2023 Arizona - Schumer would not make any official endorsements just quite yet, he had to see how the race would play out. He would, however, put good work behind the scenes into getting his ducks in a row to support Gallego when the time comes. California - Senator Feinstein's office would put out a memo announcing her retirement. Majority Leader Schumer and Minority Leader Dingell would make no official endorsements yet, but their preferred option for the seat is Representative Ted Lieu, who would announce his run for the seat the day Feinstein announced her retirement. Connecticut - Chris Murphy will run for reelection. Florida - Florida State Senator and former educator Tracie Davis would announce her bid to take on the job of winning Senator Scott's seat. Maryland - Ben Cardin will announce his reelection. Missouri - Democratic Leadership won't publicly support him, but will privately work in favor of Lucas Kunce. Nevada - Jacky Rosen will run for reelection. New York - Schumer endorses Gillibrand. Rhode Island - Whitehouse will run for reelection. Texas - Leadership won't endorse yet, in case of a primary. Gregg Popovich, head coach and president of the San Antonio Spurs will file to run against Ted Cruz. Virginia - Tim Kaine will run for reelection. Wisconsin - Tammy Baldwin will run for reelection. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Murrman104 Posted February 14, 2023 Share Posted February 14, 2023 (edited) Washington- After working out the details surrounding the vacant Senate seat and the upcoming special election, running for re-election was almost an afterthought, however, he would be running for a 4th term which would most likely be his last. Mississippi- The Cousin of Elvis , a commissioner of Mississippi public services and a self-proclaimed FDR Democrat. Brandon Pressley was a strong candidate, going up against a weak incumbent in what should at this stage be the beginning of a Democratic wave. If he couldn't win here then it's unlikely anyone could.South Dakota- She technically came in 3rd in the 2016 election, and now she hoped to become the governor of South Dakota. Faith Spotted Eagle has been a warrior opposing the Dakota access pipeline access for years and her suprising electoral vote she received in 2016 sparked an interest in Electoral politics. Her campaign was a long shot but she had always been a fighter at long odds. Vermont- It was unlikely, he was a popular governor and she was a former city council member who failed to be elected Mayor. But after a hoard of crazed republicans killed her stepfather Carina Driscoll was angry. Scott might not be a Maga Republican himself but the fact her home state was still voting for someone from this evil party was intolerable to her. She filed to run for the Democratic nomination for governor. Edited February 15, 2023 by Murrman104 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVProgressive Posted February 15, 2023 Share Posted February 15, 2023 (edited) Law And Order Candidates for the 2023 Gubernatorial Elections & 2024 Gubernatorial Elections Mississippi (Likely-Lean R) Former Chief Justice of the Mississippi State Supreme Court William Waller Jr. is ready to face down Tate Reeves again in a rematch of the 2019 election. Waller will run as a pragmatic-conservative, and criticized Reeves for his extremism, and ties to Bret Favre. Louisiana (Tossup, lean R) Senator Bill Cassidy, who voted to convict Trump after Jan/6 will throw his hat into the ring for Governor. Indiana (Likely R) Indiana’s other Senator, Todd Young, will throw his hat into the ring. New Hampshire (Lean R) Governor Chris Sununu will seek a fifth term as governor. North Carolina (Tossup) Fmr. Senator Roy Cooper, who voted to convict Trump after Jan/6, will run for Governor West Virginia (Solid R) Former Representative David McKinley will run for Governor. He promises to govern as a true conservative in the vein of Ronald Reagan, George H. W. Bush, and Arch Moore Law and Order Candidates for the 2023 Special & 2024 Senate Elections The Washington Special Senate Election (Likely D) Jaime Herrera Beutler will run for Senate, declaring herself to be an Anti-Trump Conservative. The Massachusetts Special Senate Election (Likely D) We'll support Charlie Baker if he decides to run @Fbarbarossa but if he doesn't we will run Karyn Polito Arizona (Tossup) Perhaps the crowning jewel of the L&O factions recruiting efforts this cycle is Meghan McCain. The media personality will announce her candidacy with a speech in Pheonix, with Liz Cheney by her side. Her speech will hinge on the legacy of her father, as well as her commitment to continue his efforts to make America a better place. She describes herself as a Reagan-Bush Republican, but makes no direct attacks at the Trump wing of the party. California (Likely D) Moderate Republican Kevin Faulconer has our support to succeed Diane Feinstein Florida (Lean R) Whatever happened to Jeb Bush? It's a question that not many think to ask. The occasional TV or podcast spot here, a paid speech there, but other than that, the younger Bush brother seemed to have contended himself with an ignoble end to his political career, a bevy of internet memes his only lasting legacy... But an insurrection, and a massacre has ways of changing things. Disgusted by the violence, and barbarity displayed on that day, and spurred to return to the political scene Jeb Bush is back. Jeb announces his intention to oppose Rick Scott in 2024 at a speech in Miami. He blasts Scott for his history of corruption, and support of far-right candidates, promising to restore the Republican party as the Party of Reagan, and Bush, not the party of Trump, and Gaetz. And yes, his slogan is 'Jeb!'. Indiana (Lean R) Fmr. Representative Trey Hollingsworth Maryland (Solid D) We'll endorse Larry Hogan if he chooses to run (If he's a member of Barb's faction as I believe, if he's a member of mine then we'll run him for senate). Michigan (Tossup, Lean D) Justin Amash, upon the encouragement of Elizabeth Cheney, will rejoin the Republican party, and declare himself to be a candidate in the upcoming senate election in Michigan. He paints himself as someone who is undoubtedly conservative, yet also willing to compromise, and dedicated to preserving American institutions. Mississippi (Likely R) Senator Roger Wicker will run for reelection Nebraska Regular (Likely R) Fmr. Rep. Jeff Fortenberry who voted in favor of the Jan 6 committee Nebraska Special (Likely R) Encourage Don Bacon to run (I assume he's part of Fbarb's faction?) Nevada (Tossup) Neoconservative stalwart, and anti-Trump republican Mark Amodei will run for Senate. He emphasizes that he is a conservative who can appeal to a wide range of voters, unlike Adam Laxalt who lost a winnable election due to campaigning on conspiracy theories. New York (Solid D) We'll try to convince former FBI Director James Comey to run for Senate as a Republican (How's that for Law&Order), but if he refuses to do so, we'll run anti-Trump Republican Fmr. Rep. John Katko Ohio (Tossup) We'll run Rep. Anthony Gonzalez, who voted to impeach Trump after the first Jan 6 insurrection. Pennsylvania (Lean D) David McCormick couldn't help but feel vindicated. He warned the GOP that Mehmet Oz was too moderate, and inexperienced to win in Pennsylvania. If only they'd listened. No matter, now that Trump, and his loonies have run wild across America, it's time for a real Republican to step up, and show everyone that the party of Reagan is still strong. He launches his campaign in Pittsburg, describing himself as a compassionate conservative. Rhode Island (Likely D) Try to dissuade Cranston Mayor Ken Hopkins from running for governor to run for Senate instead. Tennessee (Likely R) Liz Cheney will try to convince Bob Corker to make a return to the senate. If he refuses, then we shall run no candidates Texas (Lean-Likely R) Representative Dan Crenshaw will announce his run for Senate by hosting an event at Rice University. He starts by recounting his time as a Navy SEAL, and his dedication to his country, before launching into a scathing attack on Ted Cruz for his vacillation on the MAGA movement. He claims that Cruz has turned his back on America for personal gain, and promises to defend America from enemies foreign, and domestic in the Senate, just as he did in the Navy. After his speech he opens the floor for questions from the audience to show himself as a down-to-earth, approachable guy. Utah (Solid R) Endorse John Huntsman Virginia (Lean-Likely D) Former Presidential Candidate, and HP CEO Carly Fiorina holds an event in Alexandria to declare her Senate run. Her announcement focuses on her business success, before pivoting to a general criticism of the MAGA movement, and a promise to legislate in the proper Reaganite manner. Vermont (Solid D?) Encourage Christina Nolan to run, @Fbarbarossa Washington (Likely D) Dan Newhouse announces that he is running for the other Senate seat at the same event as Herrera Butler. He paints himself as a pragmatic conservative, and emphasizes his tough stance on Trump after the first Jan 6. West Virginia (Tossup) Olympic Gymnast, and Ronald Reagan Supporter Mary Lou Retton Wisconsin (Lean D) Neo-Conservative Pundit, and Radio Host Charlie Sykes will run for Senate. He emphasizes his long history of stalwart conservatism, while also painting himself as a staunch opponent of the MAGA movement, and someone able, and willing to work with both sides of the isle to get things done. Wyoming (Solid R) Senator Liz Cheney is running for reelection, and hopes to help other L&O candidates across America. Edited February 15, 2023 by WVProgressive 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rezi Posted February 15, 2023 Share Posted February 15, 2023 House Minority Leader Dingell's endorsements for the upcoming House Special Elections: VA-04: Jennifer McClellan CA-11: State Assemblyman Phil Ting CA-48: State Assemblywoman Tasha Boerner Horvath CA-19: Santa Cruz Mayor Sonja Brunner CA-43: Former Speaker of the California State Assembly Anthony Rendon. FL-7: Superintendent of Seminole County Public Schools Serita Beamon. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fbarbarossa Posted February 15, 2023 Share Posted February 15, 2023 Governor Phil Scott will run for reelection in Vermont Christina Nolan will run for senate against Tim Ashe Charlie Baker will announce a run for the senate in Massachusetts Larry Hogan will run for the senate in Maryland Spencer Cox will run for reelection in Utah Jon Huntsman Junior will run for election to a full term Will Hurd will announce him campaign to primary Ted Cruz, calling him a "Stain on the party" and pledging to run as "The candidate of civility and justice" Harry Wilson will announce that he will run against Gilibrand. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rezi Posted February 15, 2023 Share Posted February 15, 2023 Establishment Candidates for 2023/2024 Gubernatorial Elections Delaware - Lieutenant Governor Bethany Hall-Long New Hampshire - Joyce Craig, Mayor of Manchester North Carolina - Josh Stein, North Carolina Attorney General Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Blood Posted February 17, 2023 Share Posted February 17, 2023 (edited) 2023 Special Senate Elections The Washington Special Senate Election (Likely D) Failed 2022 WI-3 House candidate Joe Kent will announce a Senate run. He will do this while promising to run again for the House in 2024 if his Senate bid "falls victim to the Deep State's electoral machinations." The Massachusetts Special Senate Election (Likely D) Comedian Sam Hyde will announce his campaign for the Senate in Massachusetts. 2024 Senate Elections Arizona (Tossup) Kari Lake will announce her candidacy for the Senate, promising to return the seat to "We the People" from the "fake moderate, real leftist radical" Kyrsten Sinema. California (Likely D) Larry Elder will run for the Senate in California. Florida (Lean R) Congressman Matt Gaetz will announce his run for the Senate, as Rick Scott announces his retirement (see main post). Michigan (Tossup, Lean D) Tudor Dixon will announce a run for the Senate in Michigan. Minnesota (Likely D) Mike Lindell will proudly announce his bid for the Senate in Minnesota, declaring that "God will bring judgement down on the communist vote-riggers, and I will win!" Montana (Tossup) Former Montana attorney general Tim Fox will announce a Senate run. Nebraska Special (Likely R) Charles Herbster will announce a challenge to Ricketts. Nevada (Tossup) Rancher, Latter-day Saint, and anti-government militant Cliven Bundy will announce a Senate bid in Nevada. Ohio (Tossup) Josh Mandel will announce yet another bid for the Senate in Ohio. Pennsylvania (Lean D) Kathy Barnette will announce a Pennsylvania Senate run. Virginia (Lean-Likely D) Amanda Chase will announce a Senate run in Virginia. West Virginia (Tossup) Alex Mooney will continue his campaign for the Senate in West Virginia. Wisconsin (Lean D) State assemblyman David Armstrong will announce a Senate bid in Wisconsin. Wyoming (Solid R) Ready for a rematch? Representative Harriet Hageman will announce a Senate run in Wyoming, hoping to once again unseat an incumbent Liz Cheney. 2023 Gubernatorial Elections Kentucky (Tossup) Representative Thomas Massie will announce his intentions to run for Kentucky Governor, promising to "effectively dismantle the state government" and "run the Deep State out of Kentucky." Louisiana (Tossup, lean R) Representative Clay Higgins will announce a Louisiana gubernatorial bid. 2024 Gubernatorial Elections Indiana (Likely R) Disgraced former Indiana attorney general Curtis Hill will announce a gubernatorial run. Missouri (Likely R) Eric Greitens will file to run for Missouri Governor. New Hampshire (Lean R) Don Bolduc will announce a New Hampshire gubernatorial run, declaring that "Emperor Sunooze will reign no longer!" North Carolina (Tossup) Controversial Lt. Governor Mark Robinson will announce a gubernatorial bid. West Virginia (Solid R) Patrick Morrisey will announce a gubernatorial run in West Virginia. Edited February 24, 2023 by The Blood 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cal Posted February 17, 2023 Author Share Posted February 17, 2023 13 hours ago, The Blood said: Ready for a rematch? Representative Harriet Hageman will announce a Senate run in Wyoming, hoping to once again unseat an incumbent Liz Cheney. This has gotta be the most disrespectful move of all time. I love it 😛 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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