vcczar Posted March 21 Share Posted March 21 1. Joe Biden easily wins the Democratic Primary. In fact, no debates will be held for Democrats in the primary. 2. Trump, Tim Scott, Haley, DeSantis, Pence, and Pompeo will be in the first GOP debate. 3. DeSantis's popularity will plummet, mainly due to rhetoric and policies. Basically, he starts veering so far right that he's losing anti-Trump voters, while not winning over enough Trump voters to replace the losses. 4. Haley, Pence, and Pompeo drop out before the first primary and rally behind Tim Scott, who becomes the leading anti-Trump candidate. 5. DeSantis barely wins IA against both Trump and Scott. Trump wins NH. Scott wins SC. 6. DeSantis loses FL to Trump, but he would have won had Scott not been in the race. DeSantis shocks the media and the GOP by endorsing Trump over Scott. 7. Trump and Scott are polling about easily in the remaining states as Trump gets in trouble for a consistent slew of statements, most insults at the likable Tim Scott, such as calling him a "fake black." 8. Nevertheless, Trump still secures enough delegates to win the nomination, and Scott very reluctantly endorses Trump, despite the media believing he would refuse to. Trump's short list for VP includes Haley and DeSantis, but he chooses Sarah Huckabee Sanders. 9. Biden is noticeably frailer during the general election. He gives speeches in major cities, but doesn't do much campaigning. Kamala Harris, who isn't popular, campaigns only in CA and states with large black populations. Biden only campaigns with her in these states. Fortunately, surrogates such as Barack Obama really step it up, with Obama campaigning almost as if he were running for president. Michelle Obama is in the mix as well. 10. Biden approval hovers around 44-46% during the general, but his favorables are at least 4% higher than Trump's, who has his non-consecutive reelection campaign consistently interrupted with court appearances. 11. Predictably, Trump is the GOP candidate thought to be strongest in the primaries and weakest in the general. While people are not exactly approving of Biden, when asked if they'd rather continue 4 more years with Biden or return to Trump, the voters are clear: Joe Biden/Kamala Harris defeats Donald Trump/Sarah Huckabee Sanders. The map ends up being identical to the 2020 map, although Biden's PV margin is smaller this time around. Third Parties also double their %, but it is still far less than 2016 3rd party #s. 12. Trump calls the election rigged and suggests his followers should storm the capital again. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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