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Another Hypothetical 2024 Election Poll


vcczar

Another Hypothetical 2024 Election Poll  

16 members have voted

  1. 1. Who are you most likely to vote for if they are on your ballot?

    • Biden - D
    • Trump - R
    • RFK Jr - I
    • Cornel West - I
    • Jill Stein - Green
      0
    • Likely obscure figure - Libertarian
    • (hypothetical) Manchin - No Labels
      0
    • No vote or write-in
  2. 2. If Trump is convicted, will that change who you will vote for?

  3. 3. If Biden dies or is forced to drop out, will that change who you will vote for?

  4. 4. If RFK Jr is randomly surging and it looks like a legitimate 3-way race, does that change who you vote for?

  5. 5. Who would be the best Democratic nominee?

    • Biden
    • Harris
      0
    • Williamson
    • Phillips
    • Generic Democrat (Who do you consider a generic Democrat? Mention below)
  6. 6. Who would be the best GOP nominee?

    • Trump
    • DeSantis
    • Haley
    • Ramaswamy
      0
    • Christie
    • Generic Republican (Who would you consider to be a generic Republican? Mention below)
      0
  7. 7. Who is most likely to win barring any health scares, convictions, etc?

  8. 8. Who is most likely to win if Biden dies or is forced out because of health?

  9. 9. Who is most likely to win if Trump is convicted?

    • Biden
    • Trump from a prison cell
    • RFK Jr
      0
  10. 10. Who is most likely to win if both Biden dies/gets incapacited AND Trump is convicted?

    • Harris
    • Trump from a prison cell
    • RFK Jr
  11. 11. Who would you vote for if this had been the nominees?

    • AOC/Tlaib - Democrats
    • MTG/Boebert - Republicans
    • RFK Jr/TBD anti-vaxxer conspiracy theorist - Independent
    • Cornel West/TBD pacifist
    • I wouldn't vote or write-in even though you know your write-in won't win


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Biden dropping or dying would change my vote because that means the nominee would likely be Kamala Harris and I’m not voting for Kamala Harris.
 

Every single third party option is ass this cycle so I’d probably just write in Bernie or something.

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Ugh. I accidentally selected Trump for the first question. As for 11, I hope we never get to that point. I hate every single person running. MTG, Boebert, and Tlaib especially. 

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11 hours ago, Rezi said:

Biden dropping or dying would change my vote because that means the nominee would likely be Kamala Harris and I’m not voting for Kamala Harris.

Depends on when it happens.  Suppose he drops dead the day before the Iowa caucus.  Will she have time to get organized and get on the late primary ballots before Phillips and Williamson have too big a lead to overcome?  Most states have filing deadlines months ahead of the actual voting.

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I’m not saying that I want Kennedy to win (he’s far too crazy with the medical conspiracies and out of step with my social values), but if he does surge, I do admit to being curious as to what his administration will look like. Any thoughts?

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2 hours ago, Pius XIII said:

I’m not saying that I want Kennedy to win (he’s far too crazy with the medical conspiracies and out of step with my social values), but if he does surge, I do admit to being curious as to what his administration will look like. Any thoughts?

It’s hard to imagine who will accept being in there. I see both major parties strangely working together to thwart him in many areas. I feel like he will be bringing in a ton of unknown + Dennis Kucinich and Tulsi Gabbard. 

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This is kind of interesting. I colored in only the state polls in which Biden or Trump average at least 50% in the polls. There's still a lot of undecideds. I'd say a good number of these have either Biden or Trump averaging like 48% or 49%. Nevertheless, it's interesting to see what the map could look like if one party maximalized all the votes that the other candidates doesn't currently have in the polls. What this also shows is that MT isn't moving to the center as I had once believed. Places that increase in population tend to become more liberal but this isn't proving true in MT and ID at the moment. 

image.png.36c3d3ef2be363620ae4dfab5354c690.png

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4 hours ago, vcczar said:

This is kind of interesting. I colored in only the state polls in which Biden or Trump average at least 50% in the polls. There's still a lot of undecideds. I'd say a good number of these have either Biden or Trump averaging like 48% or 49%. Nevertheless, it's interesting to see what the map could look like if one party maximalized all the votes that the other candidates doesn't currently have in the polls. What this also shows is that MT isn't moving to the center as I had once believed. Places that increase in population tend to become more liberal but this isn't proving true in MT and ID at the moment. 

image.png.36c3d3ef2be363620ae4dfab5354c690.png

Believe in the dream...

YAPmsScreenshot(11).png.be897bf4c0d0697981fc31799982d0b2.png

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