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Who do you think wins these US Senate Races?


vcczar
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Who do you think wins these US Senate Races?  

20 members have voted

  1. 1. Alaska

    • Lisa Murkowski - Independent R (Incumbent)
    • Kelly Tschibaka - Trump R
    • Edgar Blatchford - D
      0
  2. 2. Arizona

    • Mark Kelly - D (incumbent)
    • Mark Brnovich - R
  3. 3. Florida

    • Marco Rubio - R (incumbent)
    • Val Demings - D
  4. 4. Georgia

    • Raphael Warnock - D (incumbent)
    • Herschel Walker - Trump R (announcement pending)
  5. 5. Iowa

    • Jim Carlin - R (incumbent party)
    • Abby Finkenauer - D (announcement pending)
  6. 6. Kentucky

    • Rand Paul - Libertarian R
    • Charles Booker - Sanders D
  7. 7. Nevada

    • Catherine Cortez Masto - D (incumbent)
    • Adam Laxalt - R (announcement pending)
  8. 8. New Hampshire

    • Maggie Hassan - D (incumbent)
    • Donald Bolduc - Trump R
      0
  9. 9. North Carolina

    • Pat McCrory - R (incumbent party)
    • Cheri Beasley - D
  10. 10. Ohio

    • Josh Mandel - R (incumbent party)
    • Tim Ryan - D
  11. 11. Pennsylvania

    • Sean Parnell - R (incumbent party)
    • John Fetterman - Sanders D
  12. 12. Wisconsin (assuming Ron Johnson declines running for reelection)

    • Rebecca Kleefisch - R (incumbent party) (no Republican has declared to run for this office yet)
    • Mandela Barnes - Sanders D


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AK:Murkowski will prevail over Tschibaka in a run off with Democrats votes

AZ:Kelly safe victory

FL:Demings sucks,unfortunately Rubio will win.

GA:Warnock wins a close race

IA:I think Dems dont stand much chance there

KY:I hope Booker wins,he can working class indenpendents and kick Rands ass out!It will be a close race.

NV:Safe Dem

NH:I believe Hassan can do it

NC:McCroy will win by a tiny margin

OH:Ryan will win

PA:Fetterman is my favorite on this list,go Fetterman!

WI:Barnce wins.I didnt even hear of him until your poll few days ago,now i am really into him

54-46 Senate for Dems!!!! 

Welcome to Schumerland!

I think this is too good to be true though

 

 

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1 minute ago, Pringles said:

As much as I hate Rand. Booker ain't winning and I'll bet my life savings on it. 

Friendly advice dont do it.Booker has simmilar appeal as Bernie and that means given the nomination he can attract working class indenpendents and even some Trump supporters,he had a better chance against McConnell if he were the nominee but he stands a good chance now.

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Just now, Rodja said:

Friendly advice dont do it.Booker has simmilar appeal as Bernie and that means given the nomination he can attract working class indenpendents and even some Trump supporters,he had a better chance against McConnell if he were the nominee but he stands a good chance now.

Lol. Unless its Governor Beshear challenging Rand. Nobody stands a chance. Especially a Bernie bro. Kentucky GOP ads will flood that state and he'll perform terribly. Unless you're a guy like Beshear, or Sherrod Brown potentially, you arent winning Kentucky. I dont see Booker like either of those. He's in the wrong state if he wants to ever win a statewide election. 😛

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45 minutes ago, Rodja said:

AK:Murkowski will prevail over Tschibaka in a run off with Democrats votes

AZ:Kelly safe victory

FL:Demings sucks,unfortunately Rubio will win.

GA:Warnock wins a close race

IA:I think Dems dont stand much chance there

KY:I hope Booker wins,he can working class indenpendents and kick Rands ass out!It will be a close race.

NV:Safe Dem

NH:I believe Hassan can do it

NC:McCroy will win by a tiny margin

OH:Ryan will win

PA:Fetterman is my favorite on this list,go Fetterman!

WI:Barnce wins.I didnt even hear of him until your poll few days ago,now i am really into him

54-46 Senate for Dems!!!! 

Welcome to Schumerland!

I think this is too good to be true though

 

 

AK - A poll indicate that Tschibaka will beat Blatchford. Democrats need to support Murkowski, or Tschibaka will win.

OH - Ryan could possibly tie Mandel to the alt-right in ads, etc. How successful that will be, I don't know.

Edited by Timur
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When I first saw Sean Parnell, I was like, "Why is the politician from Alaska running in PA? Is it like those cases where a candidate changes his constituency (it occurs in South Korea). Then, I found out it was a different guy.

Edited by Timur
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AK: Unfortunately, Murkowski ends up 3rd in general election voting and the 2nd place Dem votes for her don’t matter. Tschibaka wins.

AZ: Brnovich isn’t nearly strong enough and Kelly is well liked. 

FL: Rubio is safe.

GA: Walker would give Warnock a run for his money, but I think Warnock barely takes it.

IA: Iowa is a Republican state now.

KY: Kentucky is too Red, but I’m very interested to see what a Sanders Democrat can do and compare it to how McGrath did.

NV: Masto can be taken out, but Laxalt isn’t the guy to do it.

NH: Hassan is safe as long as her opponent isn’t Sununu

NC: Either candidate could win, but I think Trump’s opposition to McCrory in the primary and Republican infighting give it to Beasley.

OH: Ryan can make it close, but I unfortunately have no faith in Ohio to elect Democrats anymore.

PA: Fetterman is a very strong candidate.

WI: By logic, this race should be good for the Democrats, but Wisconsin doesn’t always vote the way it logically should.

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Here are my thoughts: 

AK: I think Murkowski is slightly more likely to win, but I think it's a true toss up. 

AZ: Kelly easily wins. 

FL: Rubio wins almost as easily as Kelly. 

GA: Warnock wins against Walker. I think Walker starts off well but I doubt he handles the stress of dirty politics. He also isn't a resident of the state, which is going to hurt him. Mental health issues might deter some voters. 

IA: Barring a major scandal, Republicans win this, although I think Finkenauer can make it close. 

KY: Booker would need to win the cities by like 85% with maximum turnout. I think Paul wins this, but I hope it is at least close. 

NV: I think people will think this is close, but it won't be. 

NH: Hassan easily wins

NC: I think Beasley has a real shot here. McCrory isn't very popular. I think she wins narrowly. 

OH: Very close election. I feel optimistic that Ryan can win, but I could also see a landslide defeat within the real of possibility for Ryan. It really depends how Mandel walks the line between Trump supporters and Kasich supporters among Republicans. Ryan is a lot like Sherrod Brown, which helps him. 

PA: I think Fetterman barely wins unless the GOP gets a stronger candidate. Fetterman seems like he's too LW for Pennsylvania, but he's also a working-class LW populist, which would win over some Trump voters that are more populist than ideological. Fetterman could bring out a lot of urban turnout. If the GOP runs a moderate with some name recognition, then the GOP wins. If they run someone that is as conservative as Rubio or more then Fetterman wins. 

WI: I like Barnes a lot, but I don't know how much urban and suburban appeal he has. I think Kleefisch wins. 

I see a 53-47 Senate in 2023. Obviously, this changes if the economy gets worse. I think the map for 2022 is very pro-Democratic in this election. GOP hasn't any strong candidates for GA, NH, NV, OH, or PA. Bad map + weak candidates. 

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4 hours ago, Rodja said:

Friendly advice dont do it.Booker has simmilar appeal as Bernie and that means given the nomination he can attract working class indenpendents and even some Trump supporters,he had a better chance against McConnell if he were the nominee but he stands a good chance now.

Booker has no  shot. Don’t get any hopes up of pulling off the upset. Kentucky is quickly moving redder every election cycle, and Booker is considered far left for our standards. Combined with the anti-Biden and Beshear factor that now exists, it’s an easy call

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6 minutes ago, jvikings1 said:

Booker has no  shot. Don’t get any hopes up of pulling off the upset. Kentucky is quickly moving redder every election cycle, and Booker is considered far left for our standards. Combined with the anti-Biden and Beshear factor that now exists, it’s an easy call

I'm shocked to say it... but Mr. J... I gotta agree! 😛 

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1 hour ago, jvikings1 said:

Booker has no  shot. Don’t get any hopes up of pulling off the upset. Kentucky is quickly moving redder every election cycle, and Booker is considered far left for our standards. Combined with the anti-Biden and Beshear factor that now exists, it’s an easy call

I don't think many people are expecting an upset. I'm shocked Charles Booker is even running. His best shot is as a mayor.

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4 hours ago, vcczar said:

Here are my thoughts: 

AK: I think Murkowski is slightly more likely to win, but I think it's a true toss up. 

AZ: Kelly easily wins. 

FL: Rubio wins almost as easily as Kelly. 

GA: Warnock wins against Walker. I think Walker starts off well but I doubt he handles the stress of dirty politics. He also isn't a resident of the state, which is going to hurt him. Mental health issues might deter some voters. 

IA: Barring a major scandal, Republicans win this, although I think Finkenauer can make it close. 

KY: Booker would need to win the cities by like 85% with maximum turnout. I think Paul wins this, but I hope it is at least close. 

NV: I think people will think this is close, but it won't be. 

NH: Hassan easily wins

NC: I think Beasley has a real shot here. McCrory isn't very popular. I think she wins narrowly. 

OH: Very close election. I feel optimistic that Ryan can win, but I could also see a landslide defeat within the real of possibility for Ryan. It really depends how Mandel walks the line between Trump supporters and Kasich supporters among Republicans. Ryan is a lot like Sherrod Brown, which helps him. 

PA: I think Fetterman barely wins unless the GOP gets a stronger candidate. Fetterman seems like he's too LW for Pennsylvania, but he's also a working-class LW populist, which would win over some Trump voters that are more populist than ideological. Fetterman could bring out a lot of urban turnout. If the GOP runs a moderate with some name recognition, then the GOP wins. If they run someone that is as conservative as Rubio or more then Fetterman wins. 

WI: I like Barnes a lot, but I don't know how much urban and suburban appeal he has. I think Kleefisch wins. 

I see a 53-47 Senate in 2023. Obviously, this changes if the economy gets worse. I think the map for 2022 is very pro-Democratic in this election. GOP hasn't any strong candidates for GA, NH, NV, OH, or PA. Bad map + weak candidates. 

For PA: I have come to support Kenyatta, and am going to work on his campaign, because of Fetterman's lack of apologizing for pulling a shotgun on a jogger. I have met Fetterman on multiple occasions, but that was just the ty breaker for me- He should of ran for Governor (Fetterman), though I will fully support Josh Shapiro for it. Fundraising numbers are interesting right now, Val Arkoosh who is the Mont. County commissioner is somehow third in it with over a million fundraised and is pretty close to Connor Lamb. If Shariff Street announces things are going to get really interesting, more than they already are- Jay Costa the State Senate Dem leader has endorsed him. Republican nom will I think without a doubt be Connor Lamb's ex opponent. The Thing about Street, Arkoosh, and Kenyatta all running is they split up Philly area support, Though so does Fetterman vs Lamb with Allegheny. Street not only is a powerful State Senator- he is also the son of former very popular Philly Mayor John Street- that makes it really, really tough for Kenyatta in Philly.

My Current PA Dem Primary prediction: (In general fill in numbers elsewhere)

Fetterman-35%

Lamb-26%

Kenyatta-24%

Street-10%

Arkoosh-8%

For NH: Unless Chris Sununu runs. 

For WI: I really have come to like Barnes alot, I think he becomes a leader if he wins.

Edited by themiddlepolitical
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9 hours ago, Rodja said:

Friendly advice dont do it.Booker has simmilar appeal as Bernie and that means given the nomination he can attract working class indenpendents and even some Trump supporters,he had a better chance against McConnell if he were the nominee but he stands a good chance now.

Kentucky is not Vermont

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