vcczar Posted December 22, 2023 Share Posted December 22, 2023 Here's Florida's key counties. Believe it or not, Biden could surprise here. He outdid previous Democrats in several areas. His main failing was a complete collapse in Miami, despite still winning it. If Biden and his surrogate go hard to win over people they lost in Miami, they could end up winning FL. Considering the trends, It's hard to imagine Biden doing worse or much worse in FL. I'm wondering if some of DeSantis's hardline policies could help Biden in Miami. Biden will also need to keep most of his support in these key counties where he outperformed Clinton. Hillary Clinton, for whatever reason, was loved in Miami. Key Counties 2020 2016 2012 2008 2004 2000 Population Center Pinellas County, FL 1 -2 6 8 0 -4 St. Petersburg, FL Brevard County, FL -14 -20 -12 -11 -16 -8 Palm Bay, FL Polk County, FL -15 -14 -7 -7 -18 -9 Bartow, FL Volusia County, FL -6 -13 -1 5 2 8 Daytona Beach, FL Pasco County, FL -20 -21 -6 -4 -10 1 Wesley Chapel, FL Sarasota County, FL -10 -11 -7 0 -8 -6 North Port, FL Miami-Dade County, FL 7 29 23 16 6 6 Miami, FL Broward County, FL 30 35 35 35 30 36 Fort Lauderale, FL Palm Beach County, FL 13 15 17 23 21 27 West Palm Beach, FL Hillsborough County, FL 7 7 7 7 -7 -3 Tampa, FL Orange County, FL 23 25 18 19 0 2 Orlando, FL Duval County, FL 4 -1 -4 -2 -16 -16 Jacksonville, FL Lee County, FL -19 -20 -17 -10 -21 -18 Cape Coral, FL Seminole County, FL 3 -3 -7 -3 -17 -12 Sanford, FL Florida Total -3 -1 1 3 -5 0 1st Tier Election 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pringles Posted December 22, 2023 Share Posted December 22, 2023 (edited) Will definitely be keeping an eye on the margins in Duval come 2024 election night. Maybe Dems can show signs of creating a new formula to improve their numbers, or even win the state. Still will have to gain back Miami though, and improve in places like Pinellas. Edited December 22, 2023 by Pringles 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vcczar Posted December 22, 2023 Author Share Posted December 22, 2023 7 minutes ago, Pringles said: Will definitely be keeping an eye on the margins in Duval come 2024 election night. Maybe Dems can show signs of creating a new formula to improve their numbers, or even win the state. Still will have to gain back Miami though, and improve in places like Pinellas. I'm not sure how much Trump being "from FL" now helped him in 2020. He's now even more "from FL" because he hasn't been in NY really since before 2017. He's often in NJ, however. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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