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NV Key County Presidential Results (2000-2020)


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Here's NV. Almost the entire population lives in Clark County, NV. Despite current polls, I can't see Biden doing worse than Clinton in Las Vegas and the rest of the county. I think he probably gets a 9 pt margin again, and wins the state by 2% or less. If Trump can't decrease Biden's % in Las Vegas, he'd have to get like a 50 pt margin in those three key red counties to win. Alternatively, he gets a 30 pt margin in these counties and somehow wins Washoe County. This is a weird state. It's competitive on paper, but the whole state depends on Clark County. The other counties just don't have enough people, even collectively, to take down a 9 pts, possibly even 7 pts margin lead in Clark County.

Key Counties 2020 2016 2012 2008 2004 2000 Population Center
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Clark County, NV 9 9 14 19 5 6 Las Vegas, NV
Washoe County, NV 5 1 4 12 -4 -9 Reno, NV
Douglas County, NV -29 -32 -26 -16 -29 -29 Minden, NV
Carson City, NV -11 -14 -9 1 -16 -19 Carson City, NV
Lyon County, NV -41 -41 -29 -17 -32 -28 Fernley, NV
Nevada Total 2 2 6 12 -2 -4 1st Tier Election
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  • vcczar changed the title to NV Key County Presidential Results (2000-2020)

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