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AZ Key County Presidential Results (2000-2020)


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Here's AZ. This one is going to be hard for Dems to repeat. The mass majority of the population lives in Maricopa County, AZ. I expect Biden to do worse in all the counties outside of Maricopa, which means Biden needs to do even better in Maricopa, which is possibly only because Trump is the likely nom. Phoenix is one of the fastest growing cities and major cities are averse to Trump. Phoenix is noticably bigger than it was 4 years ago, and it should show in the results. I would spend a lot of time in Phoenix and its suburbs, and then in Tucson and Flagstaff. 

Sacha Baron Cohen went to Kingman, which is in Mohave County--bright red--and pretended to lead a focus group. If I remember correctly it was trying to get feedback for a supposed giant mosque that they were going to build in Kingman. It was kind of funny how livid and bewildered everyone was because they didn't catch on that it was a prank.

Key Counties 2020 2016 2012 2008 2004 2000 Population Center
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Maricopa County, AZ 2 -3 -11 -10 -15 -10 Phoenix, AZ
Pima County, AZ 18 14 7 6 6 8 Tucson, AZ
Pinal County, AZ -17 -19 -17 -14 -15 1 Florence, AZ
Coconino County, AZ 24 20 15 17 13 7 Flagstaff, AZ
Yavapai County, AZ -29 -31 -30 -24 -23 -24 Prescott Valley, AZ
Yuma County, AZ -6 -1 -12 -14 -15 -13 Yuma, AZ
Navajo County, AZ -8 -10 -8 -12 -7 -2 Show Low, AZ
Mohave County, AZ -51 -51 -42 -33 -28 -16 Lake Havasu City, AZ
Arizona Total 0 -3 -9 -8 -11 -6 2nd Tier Election
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  • vcczar changed the title to AZ Key County Presidential Results (2000-2020)

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