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VA Key County Presidential Results (2000-2020)


vcczar

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Here's VA. As you can see this state, despite gubernatorial success, has moved defiantly away from the national GOP. This probably has more to do the populous Northern Virginia basically becoming part of Washington DC. Just look at all the Red in 2004 and 2000 in these key counties. Stafford Country represents how even the smaller counties are shifting Blue here. Virginia Beach and Stafford County are probably the most telling key counties to see how close this state is going to be in the election. I think one of the surest signs that Biden will hold this state is that even Hillary Clinton overperformed Barack Obama here in 2012. It seems unlikely Biden will underperform Clinton in any state in a matchup against Trump.

Key Counties 2020 2016 2012 2008 2004 2000 Population Center
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Fairfax County, VA 42 36 21 21 7 1 Herndon, VA
Prince William County, VA 27 21 16 16 -6 -8 Dale City, VA
Virginia Beach, VA (Ind.) 5 -3 -2 -1 -19 -14 Virginia Beach, VA
Loudon County, VA 25 17 4 8 -12 -15 Leesburg, VA
Chesterfield County, VA 7 -2 -8 -7 -26 -28 Chester, VA
Henrico County, VA 29 21 12 12 -8 -12 Tuckahoe, VA
Arlington County, VA 64 59 40 45 36 26 Arlington, VA
Chesapeake, VA (ind.) 6 -1 1 1 -15 -8 Chesapeake, VA
Richmond City (Ind.) 68 64 57 59 41 34 Richmond, VA
Stafford County, VA 3 -9 -8 -6 -25 -24 Aquila Harbor, VA
Virginia Totals 10 5 4 6 -8 -8  
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