Hestia Posted November 2, 2021 Share Posted November 2, 2021 1 minute ago, Entrecampos said: I did say that it's up everywhere. There's also Trump counties that are low and Biden ones that are high. Thing is - Youngkin needs to make up 9 points of ground from 2017. I'm not really seeing that. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Entrecampos Posted November 2, 2021 Author Share Posted November 2, 2021 23 minutes ago, Hestia said: I did say that it's up everywhere. There's also Trump counties that are low and Biden ones that are high. Thing is - Youngkin needs to make up 9 points of ground from 2017. I'm not really seeing that. First exit Polls Youngkin 53% Approve 44% Disapprove +9% Net McAuliffe 44% Approve 53% Disapprove -9% Net Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hestia Posted November 2, 2021 Share Posted November 2, 2021 4 minutes ago, Entrecampos said: First exit Polls Youngkin 53% Approve 44% Disapprove +9% Net McAuliffe 44% Approve 53% Disapprove -9% Net 1- voting isn't complete 2- doesn't account for mail in ballots 3- approval and voting intention are different Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Entrecampos Posted November 2, 2021 Author Share Posted November 2, 2021 1 minute ago, Hestia said: 1- voting isn't complete 2- doesn't account for mail in ballots 3- approval and voting intention are different Nothing against what you said. Im only adding information. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Entrecampos Posted November 3, 2021 Author Share Posted November 3, 2021 2 hours ago, Entrecampos said: Nothing against what you said. Im only adding information. Its seems Youngkin will win, but leta see. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hestia Posted November 3, 2021 Share Posted November 3, 2021 We got work to do 😉 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jvikings1 Posted November 3, 2021 Share Posted November 3, 2021 https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1455692529790328835?s=20 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Entrecampos Posted November 3, 2021 Author Share Posted November 3, 2021 6 hours ago, Entrecampos said: Things changed. Final prediction. My model seems to did better than 538 and RCP, but lets see. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Entrecampos Posted November 3, 2021 Author Share Posted November 3, 2021 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hestia Posted November 3, 2021 Share Posted November 3, 2021 D pickup state supreme court seat in Pennsylvania. Court is now 6D to 1R. Strange pickup, probably low turnout in the state. Surprised that favored Dems though. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timur Posted November 3, 2021 Share Posted November 3, 2021 Meanwhile in NJ, the Republican candidate seems to be doing unusually well 50.6% to 48.6% with 50% of the votes counted... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dobs Posted November 3, 2021 Share Posted November 3, 2021 1 hour ago, Hestia said: D pickup state supreme court seat in Pennsylvania. Court is now 6D to 1R. Strange pickup, probably low turnout in the state. Surprised that favored Dems though. I'm not sure where they are getting this call. We'll see how it shakes out. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Entrecampos Posted November 3, 2021 Author Share Posted November 3, 2021 (edited) 46 minutes ago, Timur said: Meanwhile in NJ, the Republican candidate seems to be doing unusually well 50.6% to 48.6% with 50% of the votes counted... 3.2% advantage with 65%, but Essex is 1% accounted, heavy dem county. Edited November 3, 2021 by Entrecampos Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Entrecampos Posted November 3, 2021 Author Share Posted November 3, 2021 Virginia called for Youngkin. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Entrecampos Posted November 3, 2021 Author Share Posted November 3, 2021 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timur Posted November 3, 2021 Share Posted November 3, 2021 2 hours ago, Entrecampos said: If Ciattarelli wins, this will be an upset. If he loses, the GOP will regret not campaigning for him more. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rodja Posted November 3, 2021 Share Posted November 3, 2021 28 minutes ago, Timur said: If Ciattarelli wins, this will be an upset. If he loses, the GOP will regret not campaigning for him more. Ciattareli leads by just 60 votes now at 84% reported.I believe Murphy will eventually win but that even was close is a very bad news for Democrats.Youngkin victory is a complete disastrous shitshow. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timur Posted November 3, 2021 Share Posted November 3, 2021 Now Ciattareli leads by 1193 votes and 88% counted. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rodja Posted November 3, 2021 Share Posted November 3, 2021 1 hour ago, Timur said: Now Ciattareli leads by 1193 votes and 88% counted. F..k.It was a bad night for democracy. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dobs Posted November 3, 2021 Share Posted November 3, 2021 10 hours ago, Rodja said: F..k.It was a bad night for democracy. How so? It was a bad night for Democrats, that I will grant you. But democracy is strong when the parties are strong and clearly the American people are willing and prepared to check one-party domination. It was a good night for democracy because every free and fair election is a good night for democracy. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cal Posted November 3, 2021 Share Posted November 3, 2021 Your prediction wasn’t too far off! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ConservativeElector2 Posted November 3, 2021 Share Posted November 3, 2021 I just wanted to state, that I am incredibly proud about Virginia electing a great candidate as their next governor. Youngkin was my favorite early in the primary. An incredible candidate, likeable, down-to-earth and a political temperament which isn't by far as appalling as Trump's but still severely conservative. I've always believed Youngkin can pull it off and the polls during the last weeks encouraged my hopes even further. I rarely pray for political candidates but I prayed for a Youngkin victory, not just for sending the right message, but also for him. I truly believe he's a good person and deserved this win. I also thought that if Youngkin can win, he would make a perfect candidate for the Presidency, at least if Trump's out of the way. I am glad a New York Times columnist felt the same excitement around Youngkin. We saw the blueprint for winning as the GOP, keep your distance to Trump but do not distance yourself too much from him. Also raise the real issues, not the woke stuff. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pringles Posted November 3, 2021 Share Posted November 3, 2021 24 minutes ago, Patine said: "Praise the Conservative candidate in the election! It doesn't matter who they are, what they've done, who backs them or who they associate with, what specific or side beliefs they have, or even how repugnant they may or may not be as a human being, praise the Conservative candidate, support them blindly, and congratulate them if they win, because Social Conservativism is what really matters, and everything else <including the long-standing and neglected issues screaming out to be addressing by destroying the integrity and viability of EVERYTHING by being ignored and de-prioritized> are not major issues to worry about." -Typical boilerplate @ConservativeElector2 motif! 😞 Usual Patine assholery. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eugene2 Posted November 4, 2021 Share Posted November 4, 2021 8 minutes ago, Patine said: No, I'm calling out a valid point. But that probably is not easily grasped by typical @Pringles assholery, which usually lacks a real point, and is just a caustic and self-righteous lashing out for it's own sake. But I don't expect you to have the introspection or maturity to understand - as you've never shown such before. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eugene3 Posted November 4, 2021 Share Posted November 4, 2021 1 minute ago, Patine said: Thank-you for being so transparent as a dual-logging, unreprentant, Troll likely here for no other purpose. /ignore! k 1 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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