2022 French Presidential Election

[ConservativeElector2]

Event 1: Xavier Bertrand tours Alsace bringing his message directly to the voters.

Event 2: Xavier Bertrand meets with business leaders in Paris.

Event 3: Xavier Bertrand attends a rally of a center-right Christian labor union.

 

Debate core message: France is going downhill. Far-left and far-right extremism will not be the answer. The answer is a proven pragmatist.

attack on another candidate: President Macron is to blame for the problems of France.

target audience: Moderates

[Cal]

Event 1: Napoleon will hold a rally in Nouvelle-Aquitane, pledging to open up talks to significantly revamp France's membership in the EU or to hold the EU to talks of special exceptions the British once held. 

Event 2: Napoleon will target conservatives in a nationwide ad, appearing alongside Dupont-Aignane and promising to restore a sense of national pride. 

Event 3: Napoleon will try his luck in Hauts-de-France once again, hoping that being the only candidate visiting the area could see him do remarkable in the first round results there. 

[Rodja]

1.Benoit Hamon holds rally in Bordeaux promising that voting for him is "voting for real change France needed for decades!" and blasting "status quo that led to extremist Le Pen leading the polls"

2.Benoit Hamon holds event in Marseille focused on explaining social democracy and its advantages

3.At a rally in Paris,Hamon receives endorsements by Former President Francois Hollande and Former Prime Minister Manuel Valls.They praise Hamon as "courageos leader ready to fight for freedom and equality of all!"

[Rodja]

Debate core message:We can do better than this!Imagine the world of equal opportunity,equal rights,respect for each other,human solidarity.We can achieve it together!

Attack:Macron,for incrementalism and inaction that caused Le Pen to raise in the polls

Target audience:Undecided young voters

[WVProgressive]

Event 1: Sarkozy tours rural Alsace-Loraine, talking about education.

Event 2: Sarkozy walks the streets of Lyon, talking to voters on the issues they care about.

Event 3: Sarkozy rallies in Paris, talking about conservationism.

 

Debate core message: Sarkozy will emphasize he is the only nn extremists conservative candidate with a chance to get into the second round

attack on another candidate: Attack Le Pen for her extremism, and the National Fronts 'flirtation' with French fascists.

target audience: Rural voters

[Rezi]

Event 1: Melénchon spreads the word about leftist ideology and how to help the workers in Paris.

Event 2: Melénchon holds a rally in Occitanie.

Event 3: Melénchon launches a social media campaign to take down Macron and speaks of his horrible record as President.

 

Debate core message: Melénchon emphasizes that he's a man of the people, who will be the only candidate to truly put France first.

attack on another candidate: Attack Le Pen for being a fraud, a globalist in wolf's clothing.

target audience: Populist Voters

[Edouard]

Event 1 : In order to gain traction in Auvergne-Rhones-Alpes Macron recalls his links with the popular former president from Auvergne Valérie Giscard D'Estaing and their common european project

Event 2 : In the will to get more supports and to recall the anniversary of the french victory at the world cup, Emmanuel Macron mocks himself on his victory celebration in a Pays de la Loire event

 

In an event in Grand-Est, Emmanuel Macron closes his point regarding last attacks towards him

According to Jean Luc Mélenchon and sometimes Benoit Hamon I am a lot of terrible things, the question is who am I? 

According to some, I am a new Napoléon

I do not think I am, it would even more be irrespectfull toward the descendent of S.A.I. Jérôme Bonaparte.

Maybe Mr. Mélenchon more believes that I am this

Once again it may be abused as a comparision, maybe I am more like the last of our absolute monarchs.

I am sure that mister Mélenchon would like to be my Robespierre.

Let us be serious for once. I am a moderate who wants to pursue the modernization of France through what we lived, and let's abandon this campaign made of caricatures.

 

Debate core message: Attack le Pen and nationalism, tries to place himself as the leader of liberalism in opposition to nationalism

Target voters : Urban and suburban voters

 

[Pringles]

Le Pen spends the entire week in Normandie. Meeting veterans, promising a better future for France. Using a more tame tone this time. (Normandie x3)

Debate Message: It's time for change. Le Pen will use the question Reagan asked in 1980. "Are you better off than you were four years ago?"

Attack: Le Pen will attack the corruption of Center-Right candidates such as Sarkozy. Who only care about themselves and not the French people. Le Pen will be sure not to overly attack. Wanting to renew her image from the one of 4 years ago.

Target voters: Moderate Conservatives. 

[The Blood]

1. Jadot will attempt to make up ground in Paris, touring the city as he hammers his commitment to the environment. 

 

2. Jadot will hit Lyon with fire and fury, hitting Macron for his "incremental" record on the environment. 

 

3. Jadot will tour Brittany, hoping to maintain his momentum in the area while focusing on his calls for a reformed and more representative democracy.

[The Blood]

Debate Actions:

Core Message: That our planet is dying, and we need change now. We must reinvent France and turn it into a prosperous green state if we are to help lead in the battle against Climate Change. 

 

Attack: Macron for his incremental and half-measure record on the environment. 

 

Target Audience: The young voters of France, who have their futures on the line thanks to Climate Change. 

[Rodja]

@Hestia We are able to move on with this.Sorry to bother you,i just have fun playing this RP.

[Hestia]

I'm updating the doc with all the polling and momentum, but the writeup may be tomorrow when I have more time. 😛 Thanks for the patience! 

[Hestia]

France 2022 First Round Debate Roundup

The lights were on the seven frontrunners for the French presidential election of the 2022 cycle! The debate started with each candidate giving a brief opening statement to their potential voters. Several candidates came out with strong messages to their audiences: Marine Le Pen (10) and Yannick Jadot (10) especially, with Bertrand (8), Sarkozy (9) and Hamon (6) providing decent beginnings as well. Melenchon (1) stumbled hard in his opening, with Bertrand giving a little crack at the leftist's expanse, saying that he was sure there was a cane somewhere in the back if he needed it. Macron (2) also had a rough beginning to the debate, with several audience members gasping when he tripped over some words.

Several candidates ganged up on President Macron, including Bertrand (6), Hamon (5) and Jadot (1). Many felt that Jadot's attack on Macron went over the line into hyperbole, and gained the President back some critical points for his performance. Others went after frontrunner Marine Le Pen, including Sarkozy with a successful hit (8), Melenchon (4), and Macron (5). Only Le Pen went after former President Sarkozy for his corruption and delivered a critical hit to his momentum that had been buliding throughout the debate (9). 

The closing statements were more varied than the others, beginning with Bertrand's direct appeal to moderates (10!). Bertrand really hit hard with his appeal, and caused many to shake towards him. Macron had a similarly strong (9) appeal to urban voters, particularly those around Paris who may have been flirting with other candidates. Sarkozy rebounded from the hard hit from Le Pen by taking his appeal to Rural voters (8). Le Pen fumbled at the end of the debate with a botched pitch to moderate conservatives when she echoed a controversial piece of rhetoric from her father (1). Melenchon's appeal to populists (1) went over like a lead balloon as well. Hamon and Jadot both thought the same and appealed to young voters and had the same lukewarm result (4). 

Winner of the debate: Xavier Bertrand! (24)

Runner's Up: Nicolas Sarkozy and Emmanuel Macron (21)

Next Up: Benoit Hamon and Yannick Jadot (15)

Loser: Jean Luc Melenchon (6)

Because of the debate turn, the others are gonna be shortened to get our next turn started quicker! 😛

Marine Le Pen

Rolls: 3,10,2

Latest Polling: 25.2% (0 change from last week)

Emmanuel Macron

Rolls: 3,9,5

Latest Polling: 19.7% (+.2% from last week)

Nicolas Sarkozy

Rolls: 4,6,10

Latest Polling: 15.9% (+0.5% from last week)

Yannick Jadot

Rolls: 1,3,3

Latest Polling: 9.5% (-0.3% from last week)

Jean Luc Melenchon

Rolls: 7,4,10

Latest Polling: 8.4% (-0.6% from last week)

Xavier Bertrand

Rolls: 4,4,3

Latest Polling: 8.4% (+1.4% from last week - debate winner)

Benoit Hamon

Rolls: 2,3,1

Latest Polling: 6.9% (-0.4% from last week)

Jean Christophe Napoleon

Rolls: 4,8,10

Latest Polling: 2.2% (+0.4% from last week)

Roundup

As the first round comes closer and closer (5 turns left until that point!), there is visible sweating in both the left-wing and center-right camps. Many on the left are afraid of a last minute endorsement by Xavier Bertrand of Sarkozy, who would leap over President Macron into second. Similarly, on the center-right, they fear a left-wing team up led by Jadot who could do the same to President Macron. For the Greens, the solution is simple: the Socialists should join them as the higher polling center-left candidate. The Socialists have a different calculation. Many want them to stay in the race to continue the party at least being *present* in campaigning. Some think that a Jadot teamup would be beneficial, while others think they should lend institutional help to Macron to avoid a Le Pen or Sarkozy victory. Many have already written off Melenchon as willing to partner with fellow leftists, unless they consolidate behind him personally. 

With Xavier Bertrand rising in the polls, he holds a lot of sway currently. His voters will likely make the difference if they begin to peel away, between Sarkozy and Macron. And his strong debate makes his team think that an independent right leaning force would be more powerful than the corrupt Sarkozy. At this point, it looks like no one can force Le Pen out of the second round, barring a complete collapse by the National Rally. There is no easy choice. There are five turns left until the first round's voting begins and the time for answering questions is done. At this point, it is Le Pen and Macron's to lose. 

@Pringles @Edouard @WVProgressive @The Blood @Rezi @Rodja @ConservativeElector2 @Cal

 

[Rodja]

1.Benoit Hamon holds rally in Paris with worker unions leaders focusing on current worker conditions in France and his plans to improve it.

2.Hamon campaign launches TV ad campaign portraying Hamon as only alternative to "crooked system" that caused the rise of Le Pen and populism.It goes on to list Hamon's ambitious agenda and how it would benefit those most vulnerable in French society.

3.Hamon campaign holds discussions across France with Arab,feminist,LGBTQ and enviromental activists focusing on how Hamon would built society of solidarity and equality inclusive to all no matter the differences.

Edited April 23, 2021 by Rodja

[The Blood]

1. Jadot will tour Paris, attempting to organize left-wing momentum around his campaign in the city.

 

2. Jadot will tour Lyon, hoping that the city which has provided his campaign so much will continue to be a stronghold.

 

3. Jadot will launch a series of mailer campaigns across rural France, calling for a decentralized government with a strengthened legislative branch to ensure that democratic powers are spread out to create the most representative government possible. 

[ConservativeElector2]

Event 1: Xavier Bertrand holds a rally in Paris in order to celebrate his debate winning performance. Once again he explains why he is the best candidate for a potential match-up with Le Pen in the second round.

Event 2: Xavier Bertrand visits Marseille to talk with locals about their concerns.

Event 3: Xavier Bertrand visits Sochaux to talk with automobile construction workers.

 

[Pringles]

1. Le Pen campaigns in the Paris suburbs. Hammering Macron and the radical liberals. 

2. Le Pen campaigns in Grand Est meeting with veterans. Shaming Macron for abandoning the French people.

3. Le Pen campaigns in Normandie holding a MFGA rally with Trump. 

[WVProgressive]

Sarkozy endorses Xavier Bertrand as the only Center Right candidate with a chance of beating Macron, and Le Pen, and announces his permanent retirement from politics, saying "My  time has passed, and the French people clearly don't want me as their President for another five years. I can only hope that Xavier can beat the Liberal Macron, and the Populist Le Pen."

[Rezi]

[Rezi]

8 minutes ago, Patine said:

OOC - "Faux," News Alert?

Parody of Fox, although I get the double meaning.

[Edouard]

 

(Having no particular introduction song for this sequence I do the promotion of Barbara Pravi 😛 her song is about assuming who you are)

Events unfold before the death of Mélenchon

Elysée Palace at night :

Advisor : Mister president, it's looking hard but you might hold as long as we keep the difference with Nicolas Sark.

 

Former President Nicolas Sarkozy has officially renounced to run and endorse right-wing politician Xavier Bertrand, former president has decided to follow the opinion of some of his friends who thought that it would be better for him to turn the page of politics.

Emmanuel Macron : Good, Sarkozy is more moderate than Xavier Bertrand, he will get a boost from this endorsement but not the complete add-up of every votes. However, I am now in the need to act and act fast.

 

The day after, Emmanuel Macron holds a meeting in Paris (first event) where he attacks Xavier Bertrand record

Emmanuel Macron : No, Xavier Bertrand is not Nicolas Sarkozy.

Nicolas Sarkozy was privately in favor of same sex marriage and endorsed it in 2016, never Xavier Bertrand who still politely opposes it without being clear about his will to review the law or not.

Nicolas Sarkozy was for an economic reform, it's unclear if Xavier Bertrand is in favor of more or less spendings.

Above all, Xavier Bertrand has never told if he defined himself as a liberal defensor or a nationalist one. He can't be both in the same time.

If I am against Le Pen in a runoff, or if a left-wing candidate reaches this turn, will he support this candidate against the far-right?

He has to tell his line, he has to clarify it, our compatriots deserve to know.

The meeting is abruptely interrupted

Journalistes : Bonsoir tout le monde.

Information exceptionnelle, le leader de la France Insoumise Jean Luc Mélenchon est mort d'une crise cardiaque lors d'un meeting de campagne.

Les équipes médicales sont arrivées rapidement sur place mais n'ont pas pu sauver le dirigeant du plus grand parti de Gauche.

Une réaction est toujours attendue de l'Elysée.

 

Journalists : Good evening everyone.

Breaking news, the leader of the France Insoumise Jean Luc Mélenchon has died from a heart attack while he was doing a campaign meeting.

The medical teams have shortly arrived on the location but could not save the leader of the biggest left-wing party.

A reaction is still awaited from the Elysée.

 

Françaises Français

J'ai comme vous, appris la mort de monsieur le député Jean Luc Mélenchon. Monsieur Mélenchon était un opposant politique, un candidat concurrent, mais il aurait du vivre, il aurait du poursuivre ce grand combat qu'il menait, pour devenir président de la République.

Nous n'avions certes pas les mêmes vues, mais cet amoureux de la philosophie et des lettres demeurera une figure de notre République. Je décrète trois jours de recueillement national et interrompt ma campagne présentielle. Un lieu ouvert pour les lettres et les messages de ceux désirant laisser un message d'adieux sera disponible dans les prochains jours à l'Elysée.

 

My fellow compatriots

I like you, learned the death of mister the member of parliament, Jean Luc Mélenchon. Monsieur Mélenchon was a political opponent, a concurrent candidate, but he should have lived, he should have continue this great fight he was leading, in order to become president of the Republic.

We hadn't the same views, but this lover of philosophy and letters will remain a figure of our Republic. I decrete three days of national sorrow and interrupt my presidential campaign. An open place for letters and messages for those who want to tell him a final goodbye will be available in the next days in the Elysée palace.

 

2nd event (the declaration) and 3rd event, the campaign is then interrupted in order to let people go and let their last messages.

 

Edited June 30, 2022 by Edouard

[Rodja]

Benoit Hamon exptesses condolences to Melenchon's family and issues public statement calling him "a great fighter for equality and solidarity,we disagreed on some issues,most notably foreign policy,but he was one of a kind fighter for progressive change.Rest in Power,Monsieur Melenchon."

[ConservativeElector2]

Due to these unexpected events Xavier Bertrand wants to express his condolences to the Mélenchon family. Furthermore he thanks Nicholas Sarkozy for his endorsement. With that said Bertrand waits for the next campaign turn to resume camapigning and adress Mr. Macron's questions.

[Cal]

Napoleon will express his condolences to the Melenchon family. 

Napoleon continues his crusade in the usual - Nouvelle Aquitane. Here, he will give a fairly standard stump speech against the Euro. His rallies are considerably larger than they once were, given that he has now over doubled his support nationwide and broke 5% in the area. (Event 1)

Next, he is back in Hauts-de-France, railing against Macron's performance. (Event 2)

Finally, the young Bonaparte meets with local conservatives nationwide to see if he can scrounge up a few minor endorsements in rural areas. (Event 3)

[Hestia]

Before I process anything else, I am doing rolls for the death and things so this will be a minor update, don't post anything between this and the next round up (which will probably be tomorrow!). 

Sarkozy Endorsement of Bertrand: 73/100. A good endorsement of Bertrand moves quite a bit straight into the independent's camp.

Le Pen support because of Sarkozy dropping: 73/100. A decent amount of people go to Le Pen as a result of the Republicans' dropping out.

Macron support because of Sarkozy dropping: 32/100. A little bit of support trickles to Macron because of the center-right standard bearer falling out of the race.

Note: Not all will be weighed the same. Sarkozy endorsed Bertrand, so naturally the majority will go to him because of a strong endorsement roll. 

Melenchon's death rolls impact the two leftists the most (Greens and Socialists)

Greens: 75/100. A good amount of Melenchon's support goes to Yannick Jadot and the Greens as a result of his untimely passing. 

Socialists: 38/100. Some support goes to the Socialists, but it could provide a critical boost for the Greens to maintain its status as the top leftists int he race.