pilight

What does it matter?  He's going to replace them every few months just like he did in his first term.

On 2/1/2024 at 7:48 PM, ShortKing said:

She might decline, but I think given his age and given that it sets her up nicely for 2028, I imagine she'd at least consider it

It doesn't set her up at all if he loses, she'd get the bulk of the blame.  Sitting VPs rarely get elected.  It only sets her up if he wins and then dies in office.

On 1/28/2024 at 11:02 PM, ShortKing said:

Axios has reported his shortlist is down to Elise Stefanik, JD Vance, and Nikki Haley. I think Stefanik is the most likely but I still think folks underestimate the chance he picks Haley

He might want Haley but it's doubtful she would accept

Haley has to win South Carolina to stay viable

The whole primary system is idiotic

The low turnout was mostly weather related

Ryan Binkley spent an awful lot of time and money to get half a percent of the vote

It's very possible for Haley to upset Trump in New Hampshire after a good showing in Iowa.  Trump's poll numbers are soft and could drop severely if Haley gets some momentum.

Augusta is in Richmond County

Columbus is in Muscogee County

Macon is in Bibb County

All those counties are more populous than Fayette or Lowndes or Baldwin.  Baldwin County is barely in the top 50 most populous in Georgia.

https://www.georgia-demographics.com/counties_by_population

or

https://www.legis.ga.gov/api/document/docs/default-source/reapportionment-document-library/2020-count-by-county-population--with-2010.pdf?sfvrsn=cbc99191_2

Interesting that you left out the 2nd, 3rd, and 4th largest cities in the state

I've explained my solution about the Supreme Court on here before, but let's go once more.

The Supreme Court should not be a permanent set of justices but a rotating cast.  Each year draw one judge at random from each circuit to be the SC for the year.  Once a judge serves he can't be selected again for a number of years.  The justices that grant certiorari would do so for the next year's court, without knowing who the next justices will be.  This would serve to make the court less partisan, less political, and adhere closer to established precedent.

Your personality profile makes you:

• 47.5% less electable than Bill Clinton.
• 32.5% less electable than Donald Trump.
• 25.1% less electable than Barack Obama.
• 11.3% less electable than John McCain.
• 10.8% more electable than Hillary Clinton.
• 29.6% more electable than Mitt Romney.

I think this grossly overstates my chances of being elected

47 minutes ago, Rezi said:

Why would he pick Harris solely to be pro cop when Val Demings was literally right there? And she outclasses Harris in essentially every category of VP benefits.

I'm guessing they realized Ron DeSantis would find ways postpone or delay any special election indefinitely to keep the much needed seat empty.  Besides, you don't want to put someone valuable at VP.  You want them in a job where they can actually do something.

3 hours ago, Pius XIII said:

Biden chose Harris because he needed a woman of color.

Biden chose Harris because he needed someone pro cop.  Harris a badge humper of the highest order.

Biden is war monger enough by himself without putting Susan Rice inside the White House

You left out the most likely option, that RFK's numbers will fade as we get closer to election day and he'll have no real impact on the outcome

On 11/27/2023 at 9:21 PM, Bushwa777 said:

Again v go to store buy gas buy a house or apartment.  Prices up everywhere due to inflation. Your own party preached it in 1992 its the economy stupid.   No matter how many left wing mags you read wanting Biden it wont happen.  Nor will it be Trump.  It will be someone gop if Newman jumps in soon.  

We have inflation but the economy isn't bad.  Unemployment is non-existent, wages are up, and corporate profits are at record levels.  The inflation is mostly because the economy is doing so well.  Everybody has money to spend.

2 minutes ago, vcczar said:

https://www.numbeo.com/crime/indices_explained.jsp

So it's not a measurement of actual crime but of the perception of crime.  That makes these numbers make a little more sense.

What is this data and where did it come from?

1 hour ago, Hestia said:

Hey all! I'm working on a project for a class and I'm combing through political ads to find some of the best - preferably with a humoristic bent or innovative in some other way. I figured you all were the best to share with me some of your own favorites! Links would be great if you had them, otherwise, a description works as long as I have a person's name to look it up from! They can be from anywhere, be about any election, any party, etc. Thanks! 

"Best" in that they helped the candidate?  See if you can find some of Sam Nunn's first senate campaign ads.  I still remember his campaign song 50 years later.  "Sam Nunn, Sam Nunn, put Sam Nunn in Washington, Sam Nunn, Sam Nunn".

General election debates shouldn't even consider polls.  Any candidate with enough ballot access to win should be invited.  Otherwise it's just a self fulfilling prophecy.

Primary debates should be at the desire of the party leadership.  They shouldn't be televised as "news", the party should have to pay for the airtime.

11 hours ago, Rezi said:

Biden dropping or dying would change my vote because that means the nominee would likely be Kamala Harris and I’m not voting for Kamala Harris.

Depends on when it happens.  Suppose he drops dead the day before the Iowa caucus.  Will she have time to get organized and get on the late primary ballots before Phillips and Williamson have too big a lead to overcome?  Most states have filing deadlines months ahead of the actual voting.

6 hours ago, Pringles said:

Things are rigged when Black Americans turn out in a record fashion to fall behind their preferred candidate. A shame the white libs and progressives don't matter...

I have a hard time believing black voters overwhelmingly preferred Biden to the actual black candidates in the race

Smaller party candidates often poll well this far out.  Four years ago at this time people were talking about what impact Kanye West would have on the race.  The answer, of course, was none at all.  He got fewer votes than Gloria La Riva, the Socialist Party candidate.  RFK will do better than that but he'll never get 4% on election day.  He'll probably pull less than 1%.

RFK won't pull enough votes to matter