Jump to content
The Political Lounge

Brunell

Members
  • Posts

    93
  • Joined

  • Last visited

Posts posted by Brunell

  1. Ranking based on how they'd be as President.

     

    John McCain

    George W Bush

    Mitt Romney

    John Kasich

    Al Gore

    Ted Cruz

    Rick Santorum

    Howard Dean

    Joe Biden

    John Kerry

    Gary Johnson

     

    Worst of the rest (people who either were terrible Presidents, or would be one).

    1. Barack Obama
    2. Hillary Clinton
    3. Donald Trump
    4. Bernie Sanders
    5. Ralph Nader *At #2 if could get 270 EVs*
    6. Jill Stein
    1. Will Joe Biden be the Democratic nominee? If not, who? Yes.
    2. Will RFK Jr and Marianne Williamson drop out before the first primary? No, because they've been put up by Republicans (RFK Jr.) to embarrass Biden/make the primary "bloody", even though RFK Jr. is largely failing to do that with his name rec./money because he's an idiot.
    3. While RFK Jr is a Democrat who is further left than Biden in most ways, his more controversial positions are aligned with MAGA. Considering the controversial positions gain more attention, RFK Jr's favorability among the GOP is net positive, while his favorability is net negative among Democrats. Considering this, if RFK Jr ran 3rd party, do you think he hurts Democrats or the GOP more? Neither, because people are beginning o realize he's a Quack. If he ran third party I don't think he would break 1% of the vote.
    4. Do you expect any other major Democrats or GOP politicians declare a run for president in 2024? For major, include anyone that is an incumbent or former president, VP, Senator, US Rep, Governor, cabinet member, or celebrity.  No, but if so, Youngkin.
    5. Will Donald Trump be the Republican nominee? If not, who? Most likely (sadly); if convicted, he probably gets replaced with DeSantis, Pence or Haley.
    6. Considering the expense of running a campaign, do you expect all of the following GOP "major" candidates to drop out before the first primary?: Doug Burgum, Asa Hutchinson, and Will Hurd. Hutchinson.
    7. Who do you expect to benefit the most from the 1st GOP debate? Trump, DeSantis, Scott, Haley, Christie, Ramaswamy, or Pence? Hopefully DeSantis since he's my preferred candidate, but most likely Christie
    8. Considering Pence isn't gaining any traction whatsoever and has Trump-level unfavorabilities, do you think he drops out before the 1st primary? No, but he'll be out by Super Tuesday.
    9. Considering DeSantis has plateau'd and is dropping in the polls (he's basically at RFK Jr levels vs Trump now), do you think he drops out before the 1st primary? No; he will stay in precisely because I think he knows Trump will be convicted, and I don't think the RNC rants to run a convict for President; my theory is after Trump's conviction, the RNC will free up Trump delegates, allowing DeSantis or someone else to be named nominee at the convention.
    10. Who do you think Ramaswamy is more of a threat to? anti-Trump GOP candidates or fellow anti-establishment candidate Donald Trump? Ramaswamy is a threat to DeSantis, sadly. But then again, Ramaswamy is a not serious person who has zero redeemable qualities as a candidate or person and has never said anything of substance anytime he's opened his mouth, so he only really has a high floor, no ceiling whatsoever.
    11. Currently, Scott and Ramaswamy are trending upwards as DeSantis dips, do you expect either Scott or Ramaswamy to supplant DeSantis at #2? Scott.
    12. Mitt Romney has called on Republicans to unite behind a single non-Trump GOP candidate to defeat Trump. Will such a strategy defeat Trump? If so, who is this candidate that will both excite the base of the GOP and pose a thread to Biden? Yes. Polling has shown it would. If this happened behind Haley, Scott or DeSantis, with them being the sole anti-trump candidate, trump would lose.
    13. Will DeSantis ever pose a threat to Trump? Hopefully, but looking unlikely as we stand.
    14. Chris Christie is arguably the most brutal and effective debator. He appears to have knocked Rubio out of the race for Trump in 2016. He's now turned his guns on Trump, coming up with such colorful comments as calling Trump and "one-man crime wave." However, Christie is much more moderate than the base of his party, and he has his own ethical issues. Does he have any shot at the nomination? No, but he's not running to be nominee. He's running to rid a once great party of a traitorous, pyschotic criminal who has put himself over the Republic dozens of times.
    15. If Trump is compelled to drop out because of a mountain of court cases and investigations, which of the following candidates benefits most? The only other anti-establishment businessman Ramaswamy or Ron DeSantis? DeSantis.
    16. In 2016, 3rd parties combined for almost 6% of the popular vote. In 2020, 3rd parties combined for only 2% of the popular vote, a significant drop. While we are likely to see a rematch of Trump and Biden, there are two major factors that should be considered for 2024 3rd party support: 1) While Biden is not anywhere nearly as divisive as Hillary Clinton or Trump, he's got a 40-41% approval. As such, both major nominees will be unpopular. 2) While the LIbertarian frontrunner at the point is probably the most obscure potential Libertarian nominee of the 21st century, the Green Party frontrunner is Cornell West, a celebrated and colorful political and social philosopher often seen on TV. Green will easily be the most recognizable Green Party nominee since Ralph Nader. With all this in mind, do you expect 3rd parties to play any sort of spoiler in the 2024 election? Possibly West.
    17. If Joe Biden is incapacited and forced to drop out before the Convention, but after most of the primaries have occurred, how do you expect the Democrats to select their nominee, and who will likely be that nominee? Kamala.
    18. If Biden is compelled to drop out after nomination because of health, and Kamala Harris moves to the top of the ticket, do you expect it will shakeup the result of the election had Biden stayed on the ticket? Probably.
    19. Do you think if Biden wins a 2nd term, that Kamal Harris will end up finishing that term? Yes.
    20. If Donald Trump is the nominee for the GOP do you think his selection for VP will make or break the election for him? Say, if he selected Kari Lake, MTG, Boebert, or some other MAGA VP as opposed to, say, Tim Scott, Mike Pence, Ted Cruz, etc. Haley, Scott, or maybe Yougnkin (not likely with the very odd, borderline Asian-phobic comment he made about Youngkin).
    • Thanks 1
  2. 13 minutes ago, ebrk85 said:

    Committe Hearings will be held on the following:

     

    Secretary of the Treasury: Sec. Kathleen Sebelius (D-KS) (ebrk) Nay

    Secretary of Defense: Sec. Denis McDonough (ebrk) (D-MN) Nay

    Secretary of the Interior: Sec. Jay Nixon (murrman) (D-MO) Nay

    Secretary of Agriculture: Mike Harmon (R-KY) (WVP) Aye

    Secretary of Commerce: Sec. Cheri Bustos (Hestia (D-IL) Nay

    Secretary of Labor: Sec. Rodney Slater (jnewt) (D-AR) Nay

    Secretary of Transportation: Sec. Jake Sullivan (jnewt) (D-DC) Nay

    Secretary of Energy: Sec. Tom Vilsack (Hestia) (D-IA) Nay

    Secretary of Veteran’s Affairs: Sec. Garlin Gilchrist II (D-MI) (jnewt) Nay

    Secretary of Homeland Security: Joseph Dunford (D-MA) (jnewt) Nay

     

    FBI Director: William M Daley (D-MD) (ebrk) Nay

    UN Ambassador: Ambassador Evan Bayh (jnewt) (D-IN) Aye

    Fed Reserve Chair: Chair Tom Udall (jnewt) (D-NM) Nay

     

    Ambassadors

    UK: Brian Schweitzer (Hestia) Aye

    France: Linda Thomas-Greenfield (Murrman) Nay

    Spain: Jamie Harrison (jnewt) Nay

    Russia: Jack Lew (Hestia) Nay

    Germany: Kevin Sheekey (jnewt) Nay

    China: Antony Blinken (ebrk) Nay

    Japan: Ben Rhodes (jnewt) Nay

    Israel:  Darrell Issa (R-CA) (WVP) Aye

     

    New General

    Lloyd Austin (Hestia) Aye

     

    New Admiral

    Jim Bridenstine (Brunell) Aye

     

    @Brunell just need your votes

     

    • Like 1
  3. 2022 will go down as the Wave that wasn't. GOP Candidates who I think would've flipped seats had they won the nomination:

    PA-GOV: Barletta

    WI-GOV: Kleefisch/We should've recruited Gallagher

    MI-GOV: Craig

    Kansas should've been a win; RGA incompetence fucked over Schmidt.

    AZ-Gov: Yee (or Brnovich, he would've won in either race)

     

    On the Senate, this is where the "Trump Primary" (picking just straight idiots or scaring off A tier candidates lost us seats) fucked everthing up

    PA-Sen: Braithwaite, Toomey, McCormick

    AZ-Sen: Ducey or Brnovich

    GA-Sen: Geoff Duncan/Chris Carr

    NH-Sen: Christopher, and I cannot stress this enough, SUNUNU (!!!).  

     

    I hope Ronna Romney is happy with herself. She's an incompetent idiot. You had a chance to dump trump when his Trailer Trash, y'all Qaeda supporters tried to overthrow the government and murder a sitting Vice President and House Speaker. 

    • Based 1
  4.  

    @Rodja

    2020 Downballot:

     

    Gubernatorial:

    IN: David M McIntosh

    UT: Burgess Owens

    ND: Jack Dalrymple

    Senate:

    CO: Cory Gardner

    MI: Bill Schuette

    MN: Tim Pawlenty

    MS: Gregg Harper

    MT: Steve Daines

    NC: Thom Tillis

    OR: Gordon Smith

    TN: Lamar Alexander

    VA: Ken Cuccinelli

    WV: Shelley Moore Capito

    House:

    AR-2: Rick Crawford

    AZ-2: Matt Salmon

    CA-1: Michelle Steel

    CA-2: Brian Dahle

    FL-1: Marco Rubio

    GA-3: Nathan Deal

    HI-1: Charles Djou

    IA-1: Pat Grassley

    IA-2: Greg Ganske

    KY-1: Brett Guthrie

    ME-1: Paul LePage

    MI-1: Betsy DeVos

    MN-1: Erik Paulsen

    MS-1: Trent Kelly

    MS-2: Philip Gunn

    NC-1: Chuck Edwards

    ND-1: Kevin Cramer

    NJ-1: Thomas Kean Jr.

    NV-1: John Engler

    NY-1: Lee Zeldin

    OH-1: Josh Mandel

    OH-2: Madison Gesiotto

    OH-3: Jim Jordan

    PA-1: Bill Shuster

    SD-1: Ethan Shields

    TN-1: Marsha Blackburn

    TN-2: Mark E Green

    TX-2: Kevin Brady

    WA-1: Cathy McMorris Rodgers

    WI-1: Mark Neumann

    WI-2: Paul Ryan

    WV-1: David McKinley

     

  5. On 10/3/2022 at 1:24 AM, Rodja said:

    @Murrman104 @jnewt @ebrk85 @Hestia @WVProgressive @Brunell @ConservativeElector2 @Pringles

    Domestic Committee

     Ban Employees from Hiring Illegal Immigrants by Rep.Mike Johnson @WVProgressive Aye

    Subsidize new Clean Energy Technology by Rep.Jacky Rosen @ebrk85  Nay

    Subsidize Drilling on Federal Land by Sen.Pat Roberts @Pringles  Aye

    Ban Conversion LGBT Conversion Therapy by Sen.Adam Schiff @ebrk85 Nay

    Foreign Committee

    Establish Permanent Presence on Moon by Rep.Mike Pompeo Aye@Pringles

    Create Permanent NSS at Airports by Rep.Ryan Zinke Aye@ConservativeElector2

    Repeal Authorization of the FBI to covertly search homes, records, businesses of suspected people w/o a court order for National Security by Rep.Jim McGovern Nay@Murrman104

    Expand Military Drone Program by Sen.Jim Risch @Pringles

    Aye


    Restrict trade to countries with human rights violations by Sen.Ron Johnson Aye@ConservativeElector2

    Subsidize Offshore Drilling by Sen.Mark Kelly @Hestia

    Nay
     

    Economics Committee

    Establish National highspeed Wireless Network by Rep.Mark Sanford @Pringles

    Aye
     

    Tax Internet and Phone Data Usage by Rep.Shan TsuiTsui @ebrk85

    Nay
     

    Allow Employment of Youth from High-Need Families or Communities by Sen.Mike Rounds @Pringles


    Aye

    Regulate Wall Street by Sen.Mike Lee @WVProgressive

    Aye
     

    Increase Minimum Wage to 12$/an hour by Sen.Barbara Boxer @jnewt

    Nay
     

    Judical Committee

    Establish Federal Drug Courts by Rep.Gail Huff @ConservativeElector2

    Aye
     

    Remove All Confederate Statues by Rep.Thomas Suozzi @ebrk85

    Nay
     

    Ban and Label Antifa and similar militant Anti-Fascist groups as Terrorist Organization by Sen.John Cornyn @ConservativeElector2

    aye
     

    Set Minimum Drinking Age to 18 by Sen.Ed Markey @ebrk85

    Nay
     

    You have 24 hours to announce your votes on each legislation

     

×
×
  • Create New...