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Posts posted by Brunell
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- Will Joe Biden be the Democratic nominee? If not, who? Yes.
- Will RFK Jr and Marianne Williamson drop out before the first primary? No, because they've been put up by Republicans (RFK Jr.) to embarrass Biden/make the primary "bloody", even though RFK Jr. is largely failing to do that with his name rec./money because he's an idiot.
- While RFK Jr is a Democrat who is further left than Biden in most ways, his more controversial positions are aligned with MAGA. Considering the controversial positions gain more attention, RFK Jr's favorability among the GOP is net positive, while his favorability is net negative among Democrats. Considering this, if RFK Jr ran 3rd party, do you think he hurts Democrats or the GOP more? Neither, because people are beginning o realize he's a Quack. If he ran third party I don't think he would break 1% of the vote.
- Do you expect any other major Democrats or GOP politicians declare a run for president in 2024? For major, include anyone that is an incumbent or former president, VP, Senator, US Rep, Governor, cabinet member, or celebrity. No, but if so, Youngkin.
- Will Donald Trump be the Republican nominee? If not, who? Most likely (sadly); if convicted, he probably gets replaced with DeSantis, Pence or Haley.
- Considering the expense of running a campaign, do you expect all of the following GOP "major" candidates to drop out before the first primary?: Doug Burgum, Asa Hutchinson, and Will Hurd. Hutchinson.
- Who do you expect to benefit the most from the 1st GOP debate? Trump, DeSantis, Scott, Haley, Christie, Ramaswamy, or Pence? Hopefully DeSantis since he's my preferred candidate, but most likely Christie
- Considering Pence isn't gaining any traction whatsoever and has Trump-level unfavorabilities, do you think he drops out before the 1st primary? No, but he'll be out by Super Tuesday.
- Considering DeSantis has plateau'd and is dropping in the polls (he's basically at RFK Jr levels vs Trump now), do you think he drops out before the 1st primary? No; he will stay in precisely because I think he knows Trump will be convicted, and I don't think the RNC rants to run a convict for President; my theory is after Trump's conviction, the RNC will free up Trump delegates, allowing DeSantis or someone else to be named nominee at the convention.
- Who do you think Ramaswamy is more of a threat to? anti-Trump GOP candidates or fellow anti-establishment candidate Donald Trump? Ramaswamy is a threat to DeSantis, sadly. But then again, Ramaswamy is a not serious person who has zero redeemable qualities as a candidate or person and has never said anything of substance anytime he's opened his mouth, so he only really has a high floor, no ceiling whatsoever.
- Currently, Scott and Ramaswamy are trending upwards as DeSantis dips, do you expect either Scott or Ramaswamy to supplant DeSantis at #2? Scott.
- Mitt Romney has called on Republicans to unite behind a single non-Trump GOP candidate to defeat Trump. Will such a strategy defeat Trump? If so, who is this candidate that will both excite the base of the GOP and pose a thread to Biden? Yes. Polling has shown it would. If this happened behind Haley, Scott or DeSantis, with them being the sole anti-trump candidate, trump would lose.
- Will DeSantis ever pose a threat to Trump? Hopefully, but looking unlikely as we stand.
- Chris Christie is arguably the most brutal and effective debator. He appears to have knocked Rubio out of the race for Trump in 2016. He's now turned his guns on Trump, coming up with such colorful comments as calling Trump and "one-man crime wave." However, Christie is much more moderate than the base of his party, and he has his own ethical issues. Does he have any shot at the nomination? No, but he's not running to be nominee. He's running to rid a once great party of a traitorous, pyschotic criminal who has put himself over the Republic dozens of times.
- If Trump is compelled to drop out because of a mountain of court cases and investigations, which of the following candidates benefits most? The only other anti-establishment businessman Ramaswamy or Ron DeSantis? DeSantis.
- In 2016, 3rd parties combined for almost 6% of the popular vote. In 2020, 3rd parties combined for only 2% of the popular vote, a significant drop. While we are likely to see a rematch of Trump and Biden, there are two major factors that should be considered for 2024 3rd party support: 1) While Biden is not anywhere nearly as divisive as Hillary Clinton or Trump, he's got a 40-41% approval. As such, both major nominees will be unpopular. 2) While the LIbertarian frontrunner at the point is probably the most obscure potential Libertarian nominee of the 21st century, the Green Party frontrunner is Cornell West, a celebrated and colorful political and social philosopher often seen on TV. Green will easily be the most recognizable Green Party nominee since Ralph Nader. With all this in mind, do you expect 3rd parties to play any sort of spoiler in the 2024 election? Possibly West.
- If Joe Biden is incapacited and forced to drop out before the Convention, but after most of the primaries have occurred, how do you expect the Democrats to select their nominee, and who will likely be that nominee? Kamala.
- If Biden is compelled to drop out after nomination because of health, and Kamala Harris moves to the top of the ticket, do you expect it will shakeup the result of the election had Biden stayed on the ticket? Probably.
- Do you think if Biden wins a 2nd term, that Kamal Harris will end up finishing that term? Yes.
- If Donald Trump is the nominee for the GOP do you think his selection for VP will make or break the election for him? Say, if he selected Kari Lake, MTG, Boebert, or some other MAGA VP as opposed to, say, Tim Scott, Mike Pence, Ted Cruz, etc. Haley, Scott, or maybe Yougnkin (not likely with the very odd, borderline Asian-phobic comment he made about Youngkin).
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How I think they would've served as President. Higher the tier, better Presidency I think they would've had.
We've had a lot of terrible people run for this nation's highest office who would've screwed things up much worse than they already are.
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6 hours ago, themiddlepolitical said:
I answered the poll could I get the link? Thanks!
Same for me! Thanks!
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@vcczarcan I still get in on this?
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2 minutes ago, ebrk85 said:
Because we were having so much fun with appointments let's keep it going.
Ambassador to France Caroline Kennedy @jnewt
General Ernie Fletcher ( @Brunell)
How do you vote on the above? @Murrman104 @jnewt @Vicx @pman @ConservativeElector2 @Brunell @WVProgressive
Aye on both.
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13 minutes ago, ebrk85 said:
Committe Hearings will be held on the following:
Secretary of the Treasury: Sec. Kathleen Sebelius (D-KS) (ebrk) Nay
Secretary of Defense: Sec. Denis McDonough (ebrk) (D-MN) Nay
Secretary of the Interior: Sec. Jay Nixon (murrman) (D-MO) Nay
Secretary of Agriculture: Mike Harmon (R-KY) (WVP) Aye
Secretary of Commerce: Sec. Cheri Bustos (Hestia (D-IL) Nay
Secretary of Labor: Sec. Rodney Slater (jnewt) (D-AR) Nay
Secretary of Transportation: Sec. Jake Sullivan (jnewt) (D-DC) Nay
Secretary of Energy: Sec. Tom Vilsack (Hestia) (D-IA) Nay
Secretary of Veteran’s Affairs: Sec. Garlin Gilchrist II (D-MI) (jnewt) Nay
Secretary of Homeland Security: Joseph Dunford (D-MA) (jnewt) Nay
FBI Director: William M Daley (D-MD) (ebrk) Nay
UN Ambassador: Ambassador Evan Bayh (jnewt) (D-IN) Aye
Fed Reserve Chair: Chair Tom Udall (jnewt) (D-NM) Nay
Ambassadors
UK: Brian Schweitzer (Hestia) Aye
France: Linda Thomas-Greenfield (Murrman) Nay
Spain: Jamie Harrison (jnewt) Nay
Russia: Jack Lew (Hestia) Nay
Germany: Kevin Sheekey (jnewt) Nay
China: Antony Blinken (ebrk) Nay
Japan: Ben Rhodes (jnewt) Nay
Israel: Darrell Issa (R-CA) (WVP) Aye
New General
Lloyd Austin (Hestia) Aye
New Admiral
Jim Bridenstine (Brunell) Aye
@Brunell just need your votes
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Just now, ebrk85 said:
I did them already. We are on picking faction leaders now.
Oh; then my leaders will run for re-election.
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@ebrk85sorry for the hold up! Busy with finals; will have rosters up by tomorrow at worst
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3 hours ago, vcczar said:
Oh ok.
Yeah, I'ver submitted mine and I think other GOPers have, just have not hard confirmation/anything back yet.
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11 hours ago, Rodja said:
I am still in as Game Master too xD!
But that would mean halting our 2024 RP to be clear,no doubt AMPU is more important
(Anthony should definetly read this post xD)
@Pringles @Brunell @WVProgressive @ConservativeElector2
You guys still in?
I'm in!
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2022 will go down as the Wave that wasn't. GOP Candidates who I think would've flipped seats had they won the nomination:
PA-GOV: Barletta
WI-GOV: Kleefisch/We should've recruited Gallagher
MI-GOV: Craig
Kansas should've been a win; RGA incompetence fucked over Schmidt.
AZ-Gov: Yee (or Brnovich, he would've won in either race)
On the Senate, this is where the "Trump Primary" (picking just straight idiots or scaring off A tier candidates lost us seats) fucked everthing up
PA-Sen: Braithwaite, Toomey, McCormick
AZ-Sen: Ducey or Brnovich
GA-Sen: Geoff Duncan/Chris Carr
NH-Sen: Christopher, and I cannot stress this enough, SUNUNU (!!!).
I hope Ronna Romney is happy with herself. She's an incompetent idiot. You had a chance to dump trump when his Trailer Trash, y'all Qaeda supporters tried to overthrow the government and murder a sitting Vice President and House Speaker.
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Fire every Republican in Leadership. But honestly, I'm happy my party shat the bed. I'd rather have irritating, incompetent liberals then election denying lite-fascists.
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Huh, that's interesting; thanks for the fix @ebrk85. I didn't touch the birth dates at all when I edited in politicians, so I fear a bug or some sort of error in the sheets; stay on the look out for any other weird things if this is the case.
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2020 Downballot:
Gubernatorial:
IN: David M McIntosh
UT: Burgess Owens
ND: Jack Dalrymple
Senate:
CO: Cory Gardner
MI: Bill Schuette
MN: Tim Pawlenty
MS: Gregg Harper
MT: Steve Daines
NC: Thom Tillis
OR: Gordon Smith
TN: Lamar Alexander
VA: Ken Cuccinelli
WV: Shelley Moore Capito
House:
AR-2: Rick Crawford
AZ-2: Matt Salmon
CA-1: Michelle Steel
CA-2: Brian Dahle
FL-1: Marco Rubio
GA-3: Nathan Deal
HI-1: Charles Djou
IA-1: Pat Grassley
IA-2: Greg Ganske
KY-1: Brett Guthrie
ME-1: Paul LePage
MI-1: Betsy DeVos
MN-1: Erik Paulsen
MS-1: Trent Kelly
MS-2: Philip Gunn
NC-1: Chuck Edwards
ND-1: Kevin Cramer
NJ-1: Thomas Kean Jr.
NV-1: John Engler
NY-1: Lee Zeldin
OH-1: Josh Mandel
OH-2: Madison Gesiotto
OH-3: Jim Jordan
PA-1: Bill Shuster
SD-1: Ethan Shields
TN-1: Marsha Blackburn
TN-2: Mark E Green
TX-2: Kevin Brady
WA-1: Cathy McMorris Rodgers
WI-1: Mark Neumann
WI-2: Paul Ryan
WV-1: David McKinley
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Withdraw, endorse Haley.
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Rally in NV
Attack Haley
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Rally in NH.
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Attack Haley.
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1 hour ago, Rodja said:
@Brunellwent past the timeline without asking for extension or notifying me in any way.He has 2 hours to make his candidate choices or I will do do on his behalf using CPU rules.
Major Candidate: Paul Ryan. No minor candidate.
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9 hours ago, Rodja said:
@WVProgressive @Brunell @ConservativeElector2 @Pringles @Murrman104 @jnewt @ebrk85 @Hestia
Action to announce how your Senators will vote on nomination of Leondra Kruger @ebrk85to the Supreme Court
Action to choose second Executive Action
You have 12 hours to make your moves
Nay.
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On 10/3/2022 at 1:24 AM, Rodja said:
@Murrman104 @jnewt @ebrk85 @Hestia @WVProgressive @Brunell @ConservativeElector2 @Pringles
Domestic Committee
Ban Employees from Hiring Illegal Immigrants by Rep.Mike Johnson @WVProgressive Aye
Subsidize new Clean Energy Technology by Rep.Jacky Rosen @ebrk85 Nay
Subsidize Drilling on Federal Land by Sen.Pat Roberts @Pringles Aye
Ban Conversion LGBT Conversion Therapy by Sen.Adam Schiff @ebrk85 Nay
Foreign Committee
Establish Permanent Presence on Moon by Rep.Mike Pompeo Aye@Pringles
Create Permanent NSS at Airports by Rep.Ryan Zinke Aye@ConservativeElector2
Repeal Authorization of the FBI to covertly search homes, records, businesses of suspected people w/o a court order for National Security by Rep.Jim McGovern Nay@Murrman104
Expand Military Drone Program by Sen.Jim Risch @Pringles
Aye
Restrict trade to countries with human rights violations by Sen.Ron Johnson Aye@ConservativeElector2Subsidize Offshore Drilling by Sen.Mark Kelly @Hestia
Nay
Economics Committee
Establish National highspeed Wireless Network by Rep.Mark Sanford @Pringles
Aye
Tax Internet and Phone Data Usage by Rep.Shan TsuiTsui @ebrk85
Nay
Allow Employment of Youth from High-Need Families or Communities by Sen.Mike Rounds @Pringles
AyeRegulate Wall Street by Sen.Mike Lee @WVProgressive
Aye
Increase Minimum Wage to 12$/an hour by Sen.Barbara Boxer @jnewt
Nay
Judical Committee
Establish Federal Drug Courts by Rep.Gail Huff @ConservativeElector2
Aye
Remove All Confederate Statues by Rep.Thomas Suozzi @ebrk85
Nay
Ban and Label Antifa and similar militant Anti-Fascist groups as Terrorist Organization by Sen.John Cornyn @ConservativeElector2
aye
Set Minimum Drinking Age to 18 by Sen.Ed Markey @ebrk85
Nay
You have 24 hours to announce your votes on each legislation
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10 hours ago, Rodja said:
@Brunellis well past the time line.
Oops; missed this. Not taking any leg action this round.
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@Rodjafor all my Governors, fill offices with faction loyalists.
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1 hour ago, Rodja said:
Alright guys time is up!
GOP LEADER ELECTION 2019
Nikki Haley @Pringles4 Kingmaker votes + Rolled a 6! = 10 points
Endorsed by @ConservativeElector2
Ivanka Trump @WVProgressive4 Kingmaker votes + Rolled a 6! = 10 points
The fate of the GOP now lies in the hands of @Brunellwho will cast 1 decisive Kingmaker vote
Cast my vote for Haley.
Ranking 21st Century Presidential Candidates
in Political Forum
Posted · Edited by Brunell
Ranking based on how they'd be as President.
John McCain
George W Bush
Mitt Romney
John Kasich
Al Gore
Ted Cruz
Rick Santorum
Howard Dean
Joe Biden
John Kerry
Gary Johnson
Worst of the rest (people who either were terrible Presidents, or would be one).