vcczar Posted November 15, 2022 Author Share Posted November 15, 2022 Michigan 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 N N Obama Obama Obama Obama Trump Trump Biden Biden Granholm Snyder Snyder Snyder Snyder Whitmer Whitmer Whitmer Stabenow Stabenow Stabenow Stabenow Stabenow Stabenow Stabenow Stabenow Levin Levin Levin Peters Peters Peters Peters Peters Stupak Benishek Benishek Benishek Bergman Bergman Bergman Bergman Hoekstra Huizenga Huizenga Huizenga Huizenga Huizenga Huizenga Moolenaar Ehlers Amash Amash Amash Amash Amash Meijer Scholten Camp Camp Camp Moolenaar Moolenaar Moolenaar Moolenaar Huizenga Kildee Kildee Kildee Kildee Kildee Kildee Kildee Walberg Upton Upton Upton Upton Upton Upton Upton Dingell Schauer Walberg Walberg Walberg Walberg Walberg Walberg Slotkin Rogers Rogers Rogers Bishop Bishop Slotkin Slotkin Kildee Peters Peters Levin Levin Levin Levin Levin McClain Miller Miller Miller Miller Mitchell Mitchell McClain James McCotter McCotter Bentivolio Trott Trott Stevens Stevens Stevens Levin Levin Dingell Dingell Dingell Dingell Dingell Tlaib Kilpatrick Clarke Conyers Conyers Conyers Tlaib Tlaib Thanedar Conyers Conyers Peters Lawrence Lawrence Lawrence Lawrence Dingell Dingell Despite Trump winning MI in 2016, I think MI is definitely a lean blue state in regards to pres elections. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vcczar Posted November 15, 2022 Author Share Posted November 15, 2022 Minnesota 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 Obama Obama Obama Obama Clinton Clinton Biden Biden Pawlenty Dayton Dayton Dayton Dayton Walz Walz Walz Franken Franken Franken Franken Franken/Smith Smith (S) Smith Smith Klobuchar Klobuchar Klobuchar Klobuchar Klobuchar Klobuchar Klobuchar Klobuchar Walz Walz Walz Walz Walz Hagedorn Hagedorn Finstad Kline Kline Kline Kline Lewis Craig Craig Craig Paulsen Paulsen Paulsen Paulsen Paulsen Phillips Phillips Phillips McCollum McCollum McCollum McCollum McCollum McCollum McCollum McCollum Ellison Ellison Ellison Ellison Ellison Omar Omar Omar Bachmann Bachmann Bachmann Emmer Emmer Emmer Emmer Emmer Peterson Peterson Peterson Peterson Peterson Peterson Fischbach Fischbach Oberstar Cravaack Nolan Nolan Nolan Stauber Stauber Stauber This is another state that is generally called a tossup, but it's also definitely lean Blue in pres elections. It hasn't voted GOP in a pres election since 1972 (Nixon). It is the only state to never vote for Reagan. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vcczar Posted November 15, 2022 Author Share Posted November 15, 2022 Mississippi 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 N McCain McCain Romney Romney Trump Trump Trump Trump Barbour (2007) Barbour Bryant (2011) Bryant Bryant (2015) Bryant Reeves (2019) Reeves Wicker Wicker Wicker Wicker Wicker Wicker Wicker Wicker Cochran Cochran Cochran Cochran Cochran Hyde-Smith Hyde-Smith Hyde-Smith Childers Nunnelee Nunnelee Nunnelee Nunnelee Kelly Kelly Kelly Thompson Thompson Thompson Thompson Thompson Thompson Thompson Thompson Harper Harper Harper Harper Harper Guest Guest Guest Taylor Palazzo Palazzo Palazzo Palazzo Palazzo Palazzo Ezell This state is just getting redder. Obama's 2008 election is an outlier as Childers would keep his seat blue for just that one term. Reaction to Obamacare rendered Thompson as the sole Dem, representing "the black belt." Thompson has his worst reelection victory in 2022, which is worrisome to Democrats. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vcczar Posted November 15, 2022 Author Share Posted November 15, 2022 Missouri 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 McCain McCain Romney Romney Trump Trump Trump Trump Nixon Nixon Nixon Nixon Greitens Parson Parson Parson McCaskill McCaskill McCaskill McCaskill McCaskill Hawley Hawley Hawley Bond Blunt Blunt Blunt Blunt Blunt Blunt Schmitt Clay Clay Clay Clay Clay Clay Bush Bush Akin Akin Wagner Wagner Wagner Wagner Wagner Wagner Carnahan Carnahan Luetkemeyer Luetkemeyer Luetkemeyer Luetkemeyer Luetkemeyer Luetkemeyer Skelton Hartzler Hartzler Hartzler Hartzler Hartzler Hartzler Alford Cleaver Cleaver Cleaver Cleaver Cleaver Cleaver Cleaver Cleaver Graves Graves Graves Graves Graves Graves Graves Graves Blunt Long Long Long Long Long Long Burlison Emerson Emerson Emerson Smith Smith Smith Smith Smith Luetkemeyer Luetkemeyer Missouri used to be a somewhat competitive state, but it's clear that that's changed. There's no clear wave to the GOP, it's just been fading that way. Interestingly, Sen. Hawley mentioned that post-2022 Midterm that the Republican Party is dead. Kind of a strange statement coming from him. I'm not sure what his reasoning is. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vcczar Posted November 15, 2022 Author Share Posted November 15, 2022 Montana 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 McCain McCain Romney Romney Trump Trump Trump Trump Schweitzer Schweitzer Bullock Bullock Bullock Bullock Gianforte Gianforte Tester Tester Tester Tester Tester Tester Tester Tester Baucus Baucus Baucus Daines Daines Daines Daines Daines Rehberg Rehberg Daines Zinke Zinke Gianforte Rosendale Zinke Rosendale Here's a growing state, but it won't be Blue until the urban centers are bustling. I can't see Tester winning reelection unless Zinke is facing him. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vcczar Posted November 15, 2022 Author Share Posted November 15, 2022 Nebraska 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 McCain McCain Romney Romney Trump Trump Trump Trump Heineman Heineman Heineman Ricketts Ricketts Ricketts Ricketts Pillen Nelson Nelson Fischer Fischer Fischer Fischer Fischer Fischer Johanns Johanns Johanns Sasse Sasse Sasse Sasse Sasse Fortenberry Fortenberry Fortenberry Fortenberry Fortenberry Fortenberry Fortenberry Flood Terry Terry Terry Ashford Bacon Bacon Bacon Bacon Smith Smith Smith Smith Smith Smith Smith Smith I can't explain Ashford winning in 2014, an election in which Democrats were crushed. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vcczar Posted November 15, 2022 Author Share Posted November 15, 2022 Nevada 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 N Obama Obama Obama Obama Clinton Clinton Biden Biden Gibbons Sandoval Sandoval Sandoval Sandoval Sisolak Sisolak Lombardo Reid Reid Reid Reid Cortez Masto Cortez Masto Cortez Masto Cortez Masto Ensign Ensign Heller Heller Heller Rosen Rosen Rosen Berkley Berkley Titus Titus Titus Titus Titus Titus Heller Heller Amodei Amodei Amodei Amodei Amodei Amodei Titus Heck Heck Heck Rosen Lee Lee Lee Horsford Hardy Kihuen Horsford Horsford Horsford I heard someone call this the Democratic North Carolina in that it is clearly a lean blue state and not really a tossup. This election, which should have been awful for Democrats, probably shows that strength. The state has not liked Trump era Republicans in the least. It's a growing state, which will help Dems in the future. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Murrman104 Posted November 15, 2022 Share Posted November 15, 2022 (edited) 30 minutes ago, vcczar said: Mississippi 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 N McCain McCain Romney Romney Trump Trump Trump Trump Barbour (2007) Barbour Bryant (2011) Bryant Bryant (2015) Bryant Reeves (2019) Reeves Wicker Wicker Wicker Wicker Wicker Wicker Wicker Wicker Cochran Cochran Cochran Cochran Cochran Hyde-Smith Hyde-Smith Hyde-Smith Childers Nunnelee Nunnelee Nunnelee Nunnelee Kelly Kelly Kelly Thompson Thompson Thompson Thompson Thompson Thompson Thompson Thompson Harper Harper Harper Harper Harper Guest Guest Guest Taylor Palazzo Palazzo Palazzo Palazzo Palazzo Palazzo Ezell This state is just getting redder. Obama's 2008 election is an outlier as Childers would keep his seat blue for just that one term. Reaction to Obamacare rendered Thompson as the sole Dem, representing "the black belt." Thompson has his worst reelection victory in 2022, which is worrisome to Democrats. Id argue its not really getting redder in terms of votes just more efficiently Gerrymandered. The state has a floor of 40% for the Dems and has reached the mighty highs of 43% in 08. This is probably the most inelastic state in the country Edited November 15, 2022 by Murrman104 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vcczar Posted November 15, 2022 Author Share Posted November 15, 2022 New York 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 N N Obama Obama Obama Obama Clinton Clinton Biden Biden Spitzer Cuomo Cuomo Cuomo Cuomo Cuomo Cuomo Hochul Schumer Schumer Schumer Schumer Schumer Schumer Schumer Schumer Clinton Gillibrand Gillibrand Gillibrand Gillibrand Gillibrand Gillibrand Gillibrand Bishop Bishop Bishop Zeldin Zeldin Zeldin Zeldin LaLota Israel Israel King King King King Garbarino Garbarino King King Israel Israel Suozzi Suozzi Suozzi Santos McCarthy McCarthy McCarthy Rice Rice Rice Rice D'Esposito Ackerman Ackerman Meeks Meeks Meeks Meeks Meeks Meeks Meeks Meeks Meng Meng Meng Meng Meng Meng Crowley Crowley Velazquez Velazquez Velazquez Velazquez Velazquez Velazquez Nadler Nadler Jeffries Jeffries Jeffries Jeffries Jeffries Jeffries Weiner Weiner Clarke Clarke Clarke Clarke Clarke Clarke Towns Towns Nadler Nadler Nadler Nadler Nadler Goldman Clark Clark Grimm Grimm Donovan Rose Malliotakis Malliotakis Velazquez Velazquez Maloney Maloney Maloney Maloney Maloney Nadler McMahon Grimm Rangel Rangel Espaillat Espaillat Espaillat Espaillat Maloney Maloney Crowley Crowley Crowley Ocasio-Cortez Ocasio-Cortez Ocasio-Cortez Rangel Rangel Serrano Serrano Serrano Serrano Torres Torres Serrano Serrano Engel Engel Engel Engel Bowman Bowman Engel Engel Lowey Lowey Lowey Lowey Jones Lawler Lowey Lowey Maloney Maloney Maloney Maloney Maloney Ryan Hall Hayworth Gibson Gibson Faso Delgado Delgado Molinaro Gillibrand Gibson Tonko Tonko Tonko Tonko Tonko Tonko Tonko Tonko owens Stefanik Stefanik Stefanik Stefanik Stefanik Hinchey Hinchey Hanna Hanna Tenney Brindisi Tenney Williams McHugh owens Reed Reed Reed Reed Reed Langworthy Arcuri Hanna Maffei Katko Katko Katko Katko Tenney Maffei Buerkle Slaughter Slaughter Slaughter Morelle Morelle Morelle Lee Lee Higgins Higgins Higgins Higgins Higgins Higgins Higgins Higgins Collins Collins Collins Collins Jacobs Slaughter Slaughter Massa Reed This state is losing political influence as population has been moving for decades now. This generally means a state becomes more conservative, although NYC will probably hold this state for Democrats in the pres elections for decades to come. This is a rare state that GOP waved in during the 2022 midterms. If not for the Cuomo scandals, this might not have happened. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vcczar Posted November 15, 2022 Author Share Posted November 15, 2022 North Carolina 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 N Obama Obama Romney Romney Trump Trump Trump Trump Purdue Purdue McCrory McCrory Cooper Cooper Cooper Cooper Burr Burr Burr Burr Burr Burr Burr Budd Hagan Hagan Hagan Tillis Tillis Tillis Tillis Tillis Butterfield Butterfield Butterfield Butterfield Butterfield Butterfield Butterfield Davis Etheridge Ellmers Ellmers Ellmers Holding Holding Ross Ross Jones Jones Jones Jones Jones Jones Murphy Murphy Price Price Price Price Price Price Price Foushee Foxx Foxx Foxx Foxx Foxx Foxx Foxx Foxx Coble Coble Coble Walker Walker Walker Manning Manning McIntyre McIntyre McIntyre Rouzer Rouzer Rouzer Rouzer Rouzer Kissell Kissell Hudson Hudson Hudson Hudson Hudson Bishop Myrick Myrick Pittenger Pittenger Pittenger Harris/Bishop Bishop Hudson McHenry McHenry McHenry McHenry McHenry McHenry McHenry McHenry Shuler Shuler Meadows Meadows Meadows Meadows Cawthorn Edwards Watt Watt Watt Adams Adams Adams Adams Adams Miller Miller Holding Holding Budd Budd Budd Nickel Jackson Dems gained two seats here, despite losing a close senate race. Strong reaction to Obama's 2nd term and to Trump's 2nd term, although it narrowly voted for Trump. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vcczar Posted November 16, 2022 Author Share Posted November 16, 2022 North Dakota 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 N McCain McCain Romney Romney Trump Trump Trump Trump Hoeven Hoeven Dalrymple Dalrymple Burgum Burgum Burgum Burgum Conrad Conrad Heitkamp Heitkamp Heitkamp Cramer Cramer Cramer Dorgan Hoeven Hoeven Hoeven Hoeven Hoeven Hoeven Hoeven Pomeroy Berg Cramer Cramer Cramer Armstrong Armstrong Armstrong Used to be Democrat at the state level, but they didn't like Obamacare. Dems wiped out in 2018, despite most of the nation being repulsed by Republicans that year. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vcczar Posted November 16, 2022 Author Share Posted November 16, 2022 Ohio 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 N Obama Obama Obama Obama Trump Trump Trump Trump Strickland Kasich Kasich Kasich Kasich DeWine DeWine DeWine Brown Brown Brown Brown Brown Brown Brown Brown Voinovich Portman Portman Portman Portman Portman Portman Vance Driehaus Chabot Chabot Chabot Chabot Chabot Chabot Landsman Schmidt Schmidt Wenstrup Wenstrup Wenstrup Wenstrup Wenstrup Wenstrup Turner Turner Beatty Beatty Beatty Beatty Beatty Beatty Jordan Jordan Jordan Jordan Jordan Jordan Jordan Jordan Latta Latta Latta Latta Latta Latta Latta Latta Wilson Johnson Johnson Johnson Johnson Johnson Johnson Johnson Austria Austria Gibbs Gibbs Gibbs Gibbs Gibbs Miller Boehner Boehner Boehner Boehner Davidson Davidson Davidson Davidson Kaptur Kaptur Kaptur Kaptur Kaptur Kaptur Kaptur Kaptur Kucinich Kucinich Turner Turner Turner Turner Turner Turner Fudge Fudge Fudge Fudge Fudge Fudge Fudge Brown Tiberi Tiberi Tiberi Tiberi Tiberi Balderson Balderson Balderson Sutton Sutton Ryan Ryan Ryan Ryan Ryan Sykes LaTourette LaTourette Joyce Joyce Joyce Joyce Joyce Joyce Kilroy Stivers Stivers Stivers Stivers Stivers Stivers Carey Boccieri Renacci Renacci Renacci Renacci Gonzalez Gonzalez Ryan Ryan Space Space A rapidly waning state politically that has lost it's bellweather status. I think the state is now a lean Red to likely Red state, similar to New Hampshire for Democrats. I think Sherrod Brown, more likely than not, will lose his sea in 2024 unless Biden or other Democrats wins big against Trump, DeSantis, or other Republican. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vcczar Posted November 16, 2022 Author Share Posted November 16, 2022 Oklahoma 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 McCain McCain Romney Romney Trump Trump Trump Trump Henry Fallin Fallin Fallin Falin Stitt Stitt Stitt Inhofe Inhofe Inhofe Inhofe Inhofe Inhofe Inhofe Mullin (S) Coburn Coburn Coburn Lankford (S) Lankford Lankford Lankford Lankford Sullivan Sullivan Bridenstine Bridenstine Bridenstine Hern Hern Hern Boren Boren Mullin Mullin Mullin Mullin Mullin Brecheen Lucas Lucas Lucas Lucas Lucas Lucas Lucas Lucas Cole Cole Cole Cole Cole Cole Cole Cole Fallin Lankford Lankford Russell Russell Horn Bice Bice Boren is kind of misleading. While a Democrat, he was so conservative to make Joe Manchin seem like Bernie Sanders. He may have been the last truly conservative Democrat. Horn is an outlier that shows how unpopular Trump was nationally by 2018. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vcczar Posted November 16, 2022 Author Share Posted November 16, 2022 Pennsylvania 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 N N Obama Obama Obama Obama Trump Trump Biden Biden Rendell Corbett Corbett Wolf Wolf Wolf Wolf Shapiro Casey Casey Casey Casey Casey Casey Casey Casey Specter Toomey Toomey Toomey Toomey Toomey Toomey Fetterman Brady Brady Brady Brady Brady Fitzpatrick Fitzpatrick Fitzpatrick Fattah Fattah Fattah Fattah Evans Boyle Boyle Boyle Dahlkemper Kelly Kelly Kelly Kelly Evans Evans Evans Altmire Altmire Perry Perry Perry Dean Dean Dean Thompson Thompson Thompson Thompson Thompson Scanlon Scanlon Scanlon Gerlach Gerlach Gerlach Costello Costello Houlahan Houlahan Houlahan Sestak Meehan Meehan Meehan Meehan Wild Wild Wild Murphy Fitzpatrick Fitzpatrick Fitzpatrick Fitzpatrick Cartwright Cartwright Cartwright Shuster Shuster Shuster Shuster Shuster Meuser Meuser Meuser Carney Marino Marino Marino Marino Perry Perry Perry Kanjorski Barletta Barletta Barletta Barletta Smucker Smucker Smucker Murtha Critz Rothfus Rothfus Rothfus Marino Keller Lee Schwartz Schwartz Schwartz Boyle Boyle Joyce Joyce Joyce Doyle Doyle Doyle Doyle Doyle Reschenthaler Reschenthaler Reschenthaler Dent Dent Dent Dent Dent Thompson Thompson Thompson Pitts Pitts Pitts Pitts Smucker Kelly Kelly Kelly Holden Holden Cartwright Cartwright Cartwright Lamb Lamb Deluzio Murphy Murphy Murphy Murphy Murphy Doyle Doyle Platts Platts I think PA and WI are the true tossup states. 2024 will determine if AZ and GA join them. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vcczar Posted November 16, 2022 Author Share Posted November 16, 2022 Rhode Island 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 Obama Obama Obama Obama Clinton Clinton Biden Biden Carcieri Chafee Chafee Raimondo Raimondo Raimondo Raimondo McKee Whitehouse Whitehouse Whitehouse Whitehouse Whitehouse Whitehouse Whitehouse Whitehouse Reed Reed Reed Reed Reed Reed Reed Reed Kennedy Cicilline Cicilline Cicilline Cicilline Cicilline Cicilline Cicilline Langevin Langevin Langevin Langevin Langevin Langevin Langevin Magaziner I think RI and CT will have a Republican holding one of these offices as soon as Trump is tossed away by his party. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vcczar Posted November 16, 2022 Author Share Posted November 16, 2022 South Carolina 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 McCain McCain Romney Romney Trump Trump Trump Trump Sanford Haley Haley Haley Haley/McMaster McMaster McMaster McMaster DeMint DeMint DeMint Scott (S) Scott Scott Scott Scott Graham Graham Graham Graham Graham Graham Graham Graham Brown Scott Scott Sanford Sanford Cunningham Mace Mace Wilson Wilson Wilson Wilson Wilson Wilson Wilson Wilson Barrett Duncan Duncan Duncan Duncan Duncan Duncan Duncan Inglis Gowdy Gowdy Gowdy Gowdy Timmons Timmons Timmons Spratt Mulvaney Mulvaney Mulvaney Mulvaney Norman Norman Norman Clyburn Clyburn Clyburn Clyburn Clyburn Clyburn Clyburn Clyburn Rice Rice Rice Rice Rice Fry Not much to say here. This state has been fairly consistent. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vcczar Posted November 16, 2022 Author Share Posted November 16, 2022 South Dakota 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 McCain McCain Romney Romney Trump Trump Trump Trump Hoeven Hoeven Dalrymple Dalrymple Burgum Noem Noem Noem Johnson Johnson Johnson Rounds Rounds Rounds Rounds Rounds Thune Thune Thune Thune Thune Thune Thune Thune Herseth Noem Noem Noem Noem Johnson Johnson Johnson Like with ND, SD Democrats used to be a thing. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vcczar Posted November 16, 2022 Author Share Posted November 16, 2022 Tennessee 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 N McCain McCain Romney Romney Trump Trump Trump Trump Bredesen Haslam Haslam Haslam Haslam Lee Lee Lee Corker Corker Corker Corker Corker Blackburn Blackburn Blackburn Alexander Alexander Alexander Alexander Alexander Alexander Hagerty Hagerty Roe Roe Roe Roe Roe Roe Harshbarger Harshbarger Duncan Duncan Duncan Duncan Duncan Burchett Burchett Burchett Wamp Fleischmann Fleischmann Fleischmann Fleischmann Fleischmann Fleischmann Fleischmann Davis DesJarlais DesJarlais DesJarlais DesJarlais DesJarlais DesJarlais DesJarlais Cooper Cooper Cooper Cooper Cooper Cooper Cooper Ogles Gordon Black Black Black Black Rose Rose Rose Blackburn Blackburn Blackburn Blackburn Blackburn Green Green Green Tanner Fincher Fincher Fincher Kustoff Kustoff Kustoff Kustoff Cohen Cohen Cohen Cohen Cohen Cohen Cohen Cohen This state had a lot of Democratic presence in recent history. It's not until 2010 that the state is truly GOP. Crazy to think Al Gore used to be their senator. 2022 saw Democrats knocks down to 1 seat in the state. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vcczar Posted November 17, 2022 Author Share Posted November 17, 2022 Texas 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 McCain McCain Romney Romney Trump Trump Trump Trump Perry Perry Perry Abbott Abbott Abbott Abbott Abbott Hutchison Hutchison Cruz Cruz Cruz Cruz Cruz Cruz Cornyn Cornyn Cornyn Cornyn Cornyn Cornyn Cornyn Cornyn Gohmert Gohmert Gohmert Gohmert Gohmert Gohmert Gohmert Moran Poe Poe Poe Poe Poe Crenshaw Crenshaw Crenshaw Johnson Johnson Johnson Johnson Johnson Taylor Taylor Self Hall Hall Hall Ratcliffe Ratcliffe Ratcliffe Fallon Fallon Hensarling Hensarling Hensarling Hensarling Hensarling Gooden Gooden Gooden Barton Barton Barton Barton Barton Wright Wright Ellzey Culberson Culberson Culberson Culberson Culberson Fletcher Fletcher Fletcher Brady Brady Brady Brady Brady Brady Brady Luttrell Green Green Green Green Green Green Green Green McCaul McCaul McCaul McCaul McCaul McCaul McCaul McCaul Conaway Conaway Conaway Conaway Conaway Conaway Pfluger Pfluger Granger Granger Granger Granger Granger Granger Granger Granger Thornberry Thornberry Thornberry Thornberry Thornberry Thornberry Jackson Jackson Paul Paul Weber Weber Weber Weber Weber Weber Hinojosa Hinojosa Hinojosa Hinojosa Gonzalez Gonzalez Gonzalez De La Cruz Reyes Reyes O'Rourke O'Rourke O'Rourke Escobar Escobar Escobar Edwards Flores Flores Flores Flores Flores Sessions Sessions Lee Lee Lee Lee Lee Lee Lee Lee Neugebauer Neugebauer Neugebauer Neugebauer Arrington Arrington Arrington Arrington Gonzalez Gonzalez Castro Castro Castro Castro Castro Castro Smith Smith Smith Smith Smith Roy Roy Roy Olson Olson Olson Olson Olson Olson Nehls Nehls Rodriguez Canseco Gallego Hurd Hurd Hurd Gonzales Gonzales Marchant Marchant Marchant Marchant Marchant Marchant Van Duyne Van Duyne Doggett Doggett Williams Williams Williams Williams Williams Williams Burgess Burgess Burgess Burgess Burgess Burgess Burgess Burgess Ortiz Farenthold Farenthold Farenthold Farenthold Farenthold Cloud Cloud Cuellar Cuellar Cuellar Cuellar Cuellar Cuellar Cuellar Cuellar Green Green Green Green Green Garcia Garcia Garcia Johnson Johnson Johnson Johnson Johnson Johnson Johnson Crockett Carter Carter Carter Carter Carter Carter Carter Carter Session Session Session Session Session Allred Allred Allred n/a n/a Veasey Veasey Veasey Veasey Veasey Veasey n/a n/a Vela Vela Vela Vela Vela Gonzalez n/a n/a Doggett Doggett Doggett Doggett Doggett Casar n/a n/a Stockman Babin Babin Babin Babin Babin Doggett Hunt Despite red dominance, the state has been more competitive since 2018. Who knows if a post-Trump GOP can revert the state or not. Say what you will about Beto O'Rourke. He did two things that are amazing: Look at Light Red Cruz and Light Red Abbott. You have to go back to 1988 and 1992 respectively to find better or comparable results. Beto might not have gotten the job done, but at a early 21st century Texas Democrat, he is underrated. I don't think anyone else could have done better, sadly, except for a celebrity or independent. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vcczar Posted November 17, 2022 Author Share Posted November 17, 2022 Utah 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 McCain McCain Romney Romney Trump Trump Trump Trump Huntsman Herbert Herbert Herbert Herbert Herbert Cox Cox Hatch Hatch Hatch Hatch Hatch Romney Romney Romney Bennett Lee Lee Lee Lee Lee Lee Lee Bishop Bishop Bishop Bishop Bishop Bishop Moore Moore Matheson Matheson Stewart Stewart Stewart Stewart Stewart Stewart Chaffetz Chaffetz Chaffetz Chaffetz Chaffetz Curtis Curtis Curtis Matheson Love Love McAdams Owens Owens Lee faced an Independent. As a growing state, I wouldn't be surprised if a Democrat US Rep becomes a norm at some point, but we aren't there yet. Lee's light red is due to a competitive race against an independent conservative. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vcczar Posted November 17, 2022 Author Share Posted November 17, 2022 Vermont 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 Obama Obama Obama Obama Clinton Clinton Biden Biden Douglas Shumlin Shumlin Shumlin Scott Scott Scott Scott Leahy Leahy Leahy Leahy Leahy Leahy Leahy Welch Sanders Sanders Sanders Sanders Sanders Sanders Sanders Sanders Welch Welch Welch Welch Welch Welch Welch Balint Strange state in which Democrats may be strongest here anywhere outside of DC, but then they really like their GOP governor. Note how few Democratic governors there have been despite solid Blue elsewhere. Sanders caucuses with Dems, so he's basically solid Blue too. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vcczar Posted November 17, 2022 Author Share Posted November 17, 2022 Washington 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 Obama Obama Obama Obama Clinton Clinton Biden Biden Gregoire Gregoire Inslee Inslee Inslee Inslee Inslee Inslee Murray Murray Murray Murray Murray Murray Murray Murray Cantwell Cantwell Cantwell Cantwell Cantwell Cantwell Cantwell Cantwell Inslee Inslee DelBene DelBene DelBene DelBene DelBene DelBene Larsen Larsen Larsen Larsen Larsen Larsen Larsen Larsen Baird Herrera Herrera Herrera Herrera Herrera Herrera Beutler Gluesenkamp Perez Hastings Hastings Hastings Newhouse Newhouse Newhouse Newhouse Newhouse McMorris Rodgers McMorris Rodgers McMorris Rodgers McMorris Rodgers McMorris Rodgers McMorris Rodgers McMorris Rodgers McMorris Rodgers Dicks Dicks Kilmer Kilmer Kilmer Kilmer Kilmer Kilmer McDermott McDermott McDermott McDermott Jayapal Jayapal Jayapal Jayapal Reichert Reichert Reichert Reichert Reichert Schrier Schrier Schrier Smith Smith Smith Smith Smith Smith Smith Smith Heck Heck Heck Heck Strickland Strickland I think Herrera Beutler would have kept her seat has she not lost the primary to extremist Kent. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vcczar Posted November 17, 2022 Author Share Posted November 17, 2022 Arizona 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 N N N McCain McCain Romney Romney Trump Trump Biden Biden Napolitano Brewer Brewer Ducey Ducey Ducey Ducey Hobbs McCain McCain McCain McCain McCain/Kyl Kyl/McSally Kelly Kelly Kyl Kyl Flake Flake Flake Sinema Sinema Sinema Kirkpatrick Gosar Kirkpatrick Kirkpatrick O'Halleran O'Halleran O'Halleran Schweikert Franks Franks Barber McSally McSally Kirkpatrick Kirkpatrick Crane Shadegg Quayle Grijalva Grijalva Grijalva Grijalva Grijalva Gallego Pastor Pastor Gosar Gosar Gosar Gosar Gosar Stanton Mitchell Schweikert Salmon Salmon BIggs BIggs BIggs BIggs Flake Flake Schweikert Schweikert Schweikert Schweikert Schweikert Ciscomani Grijalva Grijalva Pastor Gallego Gallego Gallego Gallego Grijalva Giffords Giffords Franks Franks Franks Lesko Lesko Lesko Sinema Sinema Sinema Stanton Stanton Gosar I still think AZ is probably a lean Red state, but it could actually be a true tossup. 2010 rendered Democrats down to only 3 offices, but they made up for that in 2012. The state was repulsed by Trump by 2018 and 2020. I think the state would still go GOP if the GOP nom leans anti-Trump. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vcczar Posted November 18, 2022 Author Share Posted November 18, 2022 Oregon 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 Obama Obama Obama Obama Clinton Clinton Biden Biden Kulongoski Kitzhaber Kitzhaber Kitzhaber Brown Brown Brown Kotek Wyden Wyden Wyden Wyden Wyden Wyden Wyden Wyden Merkley Merkley Merkley Merkley Merkley Merkley Merkley Merkley Wu Wu Bonamici Bonamici Bonamici Bonamici Bonamici Bonamici Walden Walden Walden Walden Walden Walden Bentz Bentz Blumenauer Blumenauer Blumenauer Blumenauer Blumenauer Blumenauer Blumenauer Blumenauer DeFazio DeFazio DeFazio DeFazio DeFazio DeFazio DeFazio Hoyle Schrader Schrader Schrader Schrader Schrader Schrader Schrader Chavez-DeRemer Salinas Obama's 2008 performance knocked the GOP down to one seat. 2020 showed some signs of a GOP wipe out. 2022 was about as close to a Red Wave as the GOP could hope in this state. I doubt Chavez-DeRemer keeps her seat in 2024. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vcczar Posted November 18, 2022 Author Share Posted November 18, 2022 New Mexico 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 W N N Obama Obama Obama Obama Clinton Clinton Biden Biden Richardson Martinez Martinez Martinez Martinez Lujan Grisham Lujan Grisham Lujan Grisham Udall Udall Udall Udall Udall Udall Lujan Lujan Bingaman Bingaman Heinrich Heinrich Heinrich Heinrich Heinrich Heinrich Heinrich Heinrich Lujan Grisham Lujan Grisham Lujan Grisham Haaland Haaland Stansbury Teague Pearce Pearce Pearce Pearce Torres Small Herrell Vasquez Lujan Lujan Lujan Lujan Lujan Lujan Leger Fernandez Leger Fernandez 2008 was the first time the GOP had been wiped out since 1964. They were wiped out again in 2018 and now in 2022. This state was once considered a tossup state as recently as the George W Bush years, but Bush policies pushed the state to the Dems. It's a Likely Blue state, not even lean Blue now. Susanna Martinez was once a rising star in the GOP. I'm a little surprised she never ran for president. For Democrats, I always expected Heinrich to run at some point. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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