Entrecampos

Ok, I will start to use the forum everyday. I will contact.

1958 Elections by municipality. Between, I made Portugal by municipality, so this scenario turns possible.

I bought the game, I would like to be Tester.

Im happy, my algorithm did fantastic as did in 2020. Third election in a row that I do better than Nate Silver.

Interesting... We disagree in nevada. Your algorithm is good, congratulations!

I didnt seen Vczaar map, lets see if its close to mine.

Im not singer... Far from that, but I like to sing and Im trying to learn and improve with you tube videos. I did 2 covers of a Portuguese band group. One is older, the other was recorded today. In YouTube sounds worse than in Vocaroo, so I will let both. Now I will let Vocaroo... (Amanha Tou Melhor is another recording, Boa Memoria is the same).If you want quality, focus in Vocaroo. https://vocaroo.com/113CQy31HgN1Vocaroo | Online voice recorder Do you think I can be good singing if I continue to practice or not? Unfortunately, Im better singing in Camoes, Saramago and Pessoa language than in Shakespeare language =(

My prediction was worse in Winning states, but better in voting shares, if you remember. But i think both of us did a good job.

Why people continue to say that Portuguese Communist Party changed and isnt Soviet anymore???? They are pure Commie! Support Russia, support North Korea and continue to have 4% in polls. O PCP emitiu esta quarta-feira uma nota fortemente crítica do ex-líder soviético Mikhail Gorbachev, responsabilizando-o pela restauração do capitalismo na Rússia, sem qualquer palavra de pesar pela sua morte na terça-feira. "Gorbachev foi um dos principais responsáveis pela destruição da União Soviética e a restauração do capitalismo na Rússia, quando o que se impunha era o aperfeiçoamento do socialismo", lê-se na abertura do breve comunicado de apenas um parágrafo e 123 palavras. Para os comunistas, a intervenção de Gorbachev "contribuiu para abrir caminho à contra-ofensiva do imperialismo para recuperar as posições perdidas ao longo do século XX e impor a sua hegemonia no plano mundial, com as graves consequências que daí advieram para os direitos dos trabalhadores, a soberania dos povos, a segurança na Europa e a paz no mundo". A comprovar esta ideia estão, segundo o PCP, "as guerras da Jugoslávia, do Iraque, da Líbia, da Síria, do Iémen, da Ucrânia, entre outras". "O reconhecimento e rasgados elogios que lhe são despendidos pelos responsáveis dos EUA, da UE e da NATO falam por si", termina o comunicado do PCP. The PCP on Wednesday issued a strongly critical note from former Soviet leader Mikhail Gorbachev, blaming him for the restoration of capitalism in Russia, without any word of regret for his death on Tuesday. "Gorbachev was one of the main responsible for the destruction of the Soviet Union and the restoration of capitalism in Russia, when what was imposed was the improvement of socialism," reads the opening of the brief communiqué of only one paragraph and 123 words. For the Communists, Gorbachev's intervention "helped pave the way for the counteroffensive of imperialism to recover the positions lost throughout the 20th century and impose their hegemony on the world level, with the serious consequences that have aprofound for workers' rights, the sovereignty of peoples, security in Europe and peace in the world."Proving this idea, according to the PCP, "the wars of Yugoslavia, Iraq, Libya, Syria, Yemen, Ukraine, among others." "The recognition and tearing of praise given to us, EU and NATO officials speak for themselves," the PCP statement concludes.

I think 2020 special elections made me aware of Trump surpassing polls... Republicans did well in New York 27, Wisconsin 7, California 25, etc... Idk how people didnt see it.

https://twitter.com/RobertCahaly/status/1563999007466262530 A clear signal that we can forget a red wave.

Good list. All that you said are in my top 50,except one.

Data for Progress is really a horrible pollster like I did put here and like you seen in NY-19 giving +8% GOP. But my pollsters model was improved since then. Many pollsters changed position.

My map for Senate. My map for Governors. My prediction for House is 223 GOP - 212 DEM I need many more polls in most places.

For you what are the best 3 pollsters?

Yes, we will not have a Red Wave for sure. OBS. I would like to see your 2020 map, I remember you were right in all states, would like to see it again.

Small Update 43.7% Republicans (-0.6%) 43.1% Democrats (+0.7%)

For now I will give Generic Ballot. 44.3% Republicans 42.4% Democrats

Not a bad prediction.

People are attacking PCP billboards, calling them the PC Putin party, or P`Z´P. Many people ask for illegalizating them for refusing to be in parliament when Zelensky spoken. Its the biggest issue in Portugal politics at the moment, lol.

Germany with 2 votes and Armageddon Iron Cross 1939 with 1 vote is choosen by me (5 scenarios with 1 vote).

My final is 57.0% Macron and 43.0% le Pen.

My prediction is 56.9% Macron and 43.1% Le Pen. Tomorrow I will show my final.

Poll. The first nation with 3 choices and the first start date with 2 choices will be elected.

I agree... Its so weird to see a left wing party supporting a far right dictator... Portugal is a strange place.